arXiv:2506.13981cs.LGcs.AI2025-06被引 5

用混合注意力模型预测高频股价,精准捕捉涨跌趋势。

HAELT: A Hybrid Attentive Ensemble Learning Transformer Framework for High-Frequency Stock Price Forecasting

  • 融合残差网络、自注意力与长短时记忆-变压器结构,动态适应市场变化。
  • 在2024年1月至2025年5月的苹果公司小时数据上,测试集F1分数最高。
  • 适合追求高精度短期交易策略的量化研究者和金融工程师。

高频股票价格预测因非平稳性、噪声和波动性而极具挑战。为应对这些问题,我们提出混合注意力集成学习变压器框架(HAELT),该框架结合基于残差网络的降噪模块、用于动态聚焦相关历史的时序自注意力机制,以及同时捕捉局部与长程依赖的混合LSTM-Transformer核心。各组件根据近期表现自适应集成。在2024年1月至2025年5月的苹果公司(AAPL)小时数据上评估,HAELT在测试集上取得最高F1得分,有效识别出上涨与下跌价格走势。这表明HAELT在稳健、实用的金融预测与算法交易方面具有潜力。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

High-frequency stock price prediction is challenging due to non-stationarity, noise, and volatility. To tackle these issues, we propose the Hybrid Attentive Ensemble Learning Transformer (HAELT), a deep learning framework combining a ResNet-based noise-mitigation module, temporal self-attention for dynamic focus on relevant history, and a hybrid LSTM-Transformer core that captures both local and long-range dependencies. These components are adaptively ensembled based on recent performance. Evaluated on hourly Apple Inc. (AAPL) data from Jan 2024 to May 2025, HAELT achieves the highest F1-Score on the test set, effectively identifying both upward and downward price movements. This demonstrates HAELT's potential for robust, practical financial forecasting and algorithmic trading.

股价预测Transformer量化交易

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