arXiv:2506.14070cs.AI2025-06被引 3

用多模态嵌入预测人去没去过的地方,提升出行预测能力

Into the Unknown: Applying Inductive Spatial-Semantic Location Embeddings for Predicting Individuals' Mobility Beyond Visited Places

  • 用空间坐标和兴趣点语义融合的对比学习构建位置嵌入
  • 在四个数据集上显著优于基线,尤其在未见地点表现更优
  • 适合做城市规划、个性化导航等需要泛化能力的研究

预测个体下一个位置是人类出行建模的核心任务,对城市规划、交通管理、公共政策和个性化出行服务具有广泛意义。传统方法依赖历史出行模式学习的位置嵌入,难以显式表达空间信息、整合丰富城市语义背景,且无法处理未曾访问过的地点。为此,我们探索使用CaLLiPer——一种通过对比学习融合空间坐标与兴趣点语义特征的多模态表示学习框架——来构建位置嵌入。该嵌入具有空间显式性、语义丰富性和归纳能力,可在包含新兴地点的场景中保持稳健预测性能。在四个公开出行数据集上,通过常规与归纳设置下的大量实验,我们证明了CaLLiPer持续优于强基线,尤其在归纳场景下表现突出。研究结果表明,多模态归纳位置嵌入有望显著提升出行预测系统的能力。代码与数据已开源(https://github.com/xlwang233/Into-the-Unknown),以促进可复现性与后续研究。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Predicting individuals' next locations is a core task in human mobility modelling, with wide-ranging implications for urban planning, transportation, public policy and personalised mobility services. Traditional approaches largely depend on location embeddings learned from historical mobility patterns, limiting their ability to encode explicit spatial information, integrate rich urban semantic context, and accommodate previously unseen locations. To address these challenges, we explore the application of CaLLiPer -- a multimodal representation learning framework that fuses spatial coordinates and semantic features of points of interest through contrastive learning -- for location embedding in individual mobility prediction. CaLLiPer's embeddings are spatially explicit, semantically enriched, and inductive by design, enabling robust prediction performance even in scenarios involving emerging locations. Through extensive experiments on four public mobility datasets under both conventional and inductive settings, we demonstrate that CaLLiPer consistently outperforms strong baselines, particularly excelling in inductive scenarios. Our findings highlight the potential of multimodal, inductive location embeddings to advance the capabilities of human mobility prediction systems. We also release the code and data (https://github.com/xlwang233/Into-the-Unknown) to foster reproducibility and future research.

出行预测多模态嵌入归纳学习

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