arXiv:2506.14798physics.ao-phcs.AI2025-06被引 3

用多源卫星数据提升气象降尺度精度,生成更真实高分辨率气象图。

MODS: Multi-source Observations Conditional Diffusion Model for Meteorological State Downscaling

  • 融合多源卫星与地形数据,通过跨模态注意力机制融合条件信息。
  • 在6.25km分辨率下,相比现有方法显著提升气象场真实性与细节保真度。
  • 适合气象预报、气候模拟等需高精度地面气象数据的研究者使用。

高分辨率地表气象状态的精确获取对气象预报与模拟至关重要。直接对低分辨率网格场进行空间插值常导致结果与实际状况偏差较大。现有降尺度方法主要依赖静止卫星与ERA5变量间的耦合关系作为条件,但仅使用静止卫星亮温数据难以全面反映ERA5地图中气象变量的变化。为克服此局限,本文利用更广泛的卫星数据,充分挖掘其对多种气象变量的反演潜力,生成更贴近真实情况的结果。为此提出多源观测条件扩散模型MODS:它以多源卫星数据(GridSat、AMSU-A、HIRS、MHS)、地形数据(GEBCO)为条件,基于ERA5再分析数据预训练。训练时,从不同条件输入中提取潜在特征,并通过多源交叉注意力模块融合至ERA5地图。利用再分析数据与多源大气变量间的反演关系,使生成的气象状态更贴近真实。采样阶段,引入低分辨率ERA5地图和站点气象数据作为引导,增强降尺度一致性。实验表明,MODS在将ERA5地图降尺度至6.25 km分辨率时,具有更高的保真度。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Accurate acquisition of high-resolution surface meteorological conditions is critical for forecasting and simulating meteorological variables. Directly applying spatial interpolation methods to derive meteorological values at specific locations from low-resolution grid fields often yields results that deviate significantly from the actual conditions. Existing downscaling methods primarily rely on the coupling relationship between geostationary satellites and ERA5 variables as a condition. However, using brightness temperature data from geostationary satellites alone fails to comprehensively capture all the changes in meteorological variables in ERA5 maps. To address this limitation, we can use a wider range of satellite data to make more full use of its inversion effects on various meteorological variables, thus producing more realistic results across different meteorological variables. To further improve the accuracy of downscaling meteorological variables at any location, we propose the Multi-source Observation Down-Scaling Model (MODS). It is a conditional diffusion model that fuses data from multiple geostationary satellites GridSat, polar-orbiting satellites (AMSU-A, HIRS, and MHS), and topographic data (GEBCO), as conditions, and is pre-trained on the ERA5 reanalysis dataset. During training, latent features from diverse conditional inputs are extracted separately and fused into ERA5 maps via a multi-source cross-attention module. By exploiting the inversion relationships between reanalysis data and multi-source atmospheric variables, MODS generates atmospheric states that align more closely with real-world conditions. During sampling, MODS enhances downscaling consistency by incorporating low-resolution ERA5 maps and station-level meteorological data as guidance. Experimental results demonstrate that MODS achieves higher fidelity when downscaling ERA5 maps to a 6.25 km resolution.

气象降尺度扩散模型多源数据融合

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