用知识引导的图神经网络,提升施肥相关土壤温室气体预测精度。
KG-FGNN: Knowledge-guided GNN Foundation Model for Fertilisation-oriented Soil GHG Flux Prediction
- 融合农学模型与图神经网络,生成并筛选关键农业特征。
- 在47国数据上预测准确率优于主流方法,稳定性更强。
- 适合农业碳排放研究与可持续农业决策者使用。
精准预测土壤温室气体(GHG)通量对评估农业环境影响、制定减排策略和推动可持续农业至关重要。由于多数农场缺乏先进传感与网络技术,获取全面多样的农业数据存在困难,导致农业数据稀缺严重制约了机器学习在精准土壤GHG通量预测中的应用。本文提出一种知识引导的图神经网络框架,通过整合基于农学过程的模型知识与图神经网络技术,解决上述问题。具体而言,利用农学过程模型模拟并生成覆盖47个国家、包含多种农业变量的多维数据集;为提取关键农业特征并整合特征间关联,提出结合自编码器与多目标多图结构图神经网络的机器学习框架:自编码器从模型模拟数据中选择性提取重要特征,图神经网络则整合特征间关系以准确预测施肥导向的土壤GHG通量。在模拟数据集与真实世界农业数据集上进行综合实验,结果表明该方法在施肥导向土壤GHG预测中表现出更优的准确性和稳定性,优于多个知名基线与前沿回归方法。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Precision soil greenhouse gas (GHG) flux prediction is essential in agricultural systems for assessing environmental impacts, developing emission mitigation strategies and promoting sustainable agriculture. Due to the lack of advanced sensor and network technologies on majority of farms, there are challenges in obtaining comprehensive and diverse agricultural data. As a result, the scarcity of agricultural data seriously obstructs the application of machine learning approaches in precision soil GHG flux prediction. This research proposes a knowledge-guided graph neural network framework that addresses the above challenges by integrating knowledge embedded in an agricultural process-based model and graph neural network techniques. Specifically, we utilise the agricultural process-based model to simulate and generate multi-dimensional agricultural datasets for 47 countries that cover a wide range of agricultural variables. To extract key agricultural features and integrate correlations among agricultural features in the prediction process, we propose a machine learning framework that integrates the autoencoder and multi-target multi-graph based graph neural networks, which utilises the autoencoder to selectively extract significant agricultural features from the agricultural process-based model simulation data and the graph neural network to integrate correlations among agricultural features for accurately predict fertilisation-oriented soil GHG fluxes. Comprehensive experiments were conducted with both the agricultural simulation dataset and real-world agricultural dataset to evaluate the proposed approach in comparison with well-known baseline and state-of-the-art regression methods. The results demonstrate that our proposed approach provides superior accuracy and stability in fertilisation-oriented soil GHG prediction.
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