arXiv:2506.17755cs.LG2025-06被引 5

用物理约束的专家网络,仅凭一次充放电数据就能预测退役电池寿命。

Physics-informed mixture of experts network for interpretable battery degradation trajectory computation amid second-life complexities

  • 融合物理规律与多专家模型,从有限信号中识别电池退化模式。
  • 平均预测误差仅0.88%,推理速度达0.43毫秒,比现有方法快50%。
  • 适合缺乏历史数据的二手电池场景,支持长期寿命预测。

退役电动汽车电池为低碳能源系统提供巨大潜力,但其退化行为的不确定性及二次使用中的数据不可获取性,严重阻碍了安全可扩展的应用。本文提出一种物理信息引导的专家混合网络(PIMOE),仅需单次循环的局部场可访问信号即可计算电池退化轨迹。PIMOE利用自适应多退化预测模块,基于容量-电压和弛豫数据合成专家权重,生成隐式退化趋势嵌入,并输入至依赖使用场景的循环网络进行长期轨迹预测。在207块电池、77种使用条件和67,902次循环的数据上验证,PIMOE实现平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)为0.88%,推理时间仅0.43毫秒。相比最先进方法Informer和PatchTST,分别降低50%计算时间和MAPE。兼容随机荷电状态采样,支持150周期预测,平均MAPE为1.50%,最大为6.26%,即使在缩减至5MB训练数据下仍有效运行。PIMOE框架提供了一种无需历史记录的可部署解决方案,重新定义了二次利用储能系统的评估、优化与可持续能源整合方式。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Retired electric vehicle batteries offer immense potential to support low-carbon energy systems, but uncertainties in their degradation behavior and data inaccessibilities under second-life use pose major barriers to safe and scalable deployment. This work proposes a Physics-Informed Mixture of Experts (PIMOE) network that computes battery degradation trajectories using partial, field-accessible signals in a single cycle. PIMOE leverages an adaptive multi-degradation prediction module to classify degradation modes using expert weight synthesis underpinned by capacity-voltage and relaxation data, producing latent degradation trend embeddings. These are input to a use-dependent recurrent network for long-term trajectory prediction. Validated on 207 batteries across 77 use conditions and 67,902 cycles, PIMOE achieves an average mean absolute percentage (MAPE) errors of 0.88% with a 0.43 ms inference time. Compared to the state-of-the-art Informer and PatchTST, it reduces computational time and MAPE by 50%, respectively. Compatible with random state of charge region sampling, PIMOE supports 150-cycle forecasts with 1.50% average and 6.26% maximum MAPE, and operates effectively even with pruned 5MB training data. Broadly, PIMOE framework offers a deployable, history-free solution for battery degradation trajectory computation, redefining how second-life energy storage systems are assessed, optimized, and integrated into the sustainable energy landscape.

电池寿命物理信息专家网络二手利用

Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。