用多模态因果推理,提升心梗等心血管事件的早期筛查准确率。
MOSCARD -- Causal Reasoning and De-confounding for Multimodal Opportunistic Screening of Cardiovascular Adverse Events
- 融合胸片与心电图,通过注意力对齐实现多模态信息互补。
- 在内部、急诊及MIMIC数据集上AUC达0.75~0.83,优于单模态模型。
- 适合医疗数据融合场景,尤其关注降低偏倚与混杂因素影响的研究者。
重大不良心血管事件(MACE)仍是全球主要死亡原因。机会性筛查利用常规体检数据,多模态信息可显著提升风险识别能力。胸片(CXR)反映慢性疾病状态,12导联心电图(ECG)直接评估心脏电活动与结构异常。二者结合比依赖临床评分、CT测量或生物标志物的传统模型更具优势,后者常受采样偏差与单模态局限影响。本文提出MOSCARD框架——一种基于共注意力对齐的多模态因果推理模型,同时缓解偏倚与混杂因素。关键技术包括:(i) CXR与ECG引导下的多模态对齐;(ii) 因果推理集成;(iii) 双向反向传播图去混杂。在内部数据、急诊科迁移数据及外部MIMIC数据集上验证,模型表现优于单模态和现有基础模型,AUC分别为0.75、0.83、0.71。该低成本机会性筛查方案有助于早期干预,改善预后并减少健康不平等。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Major Adverse Cardiovascular Events (MACE) remain the leading cause of mortality globally, as reported in the Global Disease Burden Study 2021. Opportunistic screening leverages data collected from routine health check-ups and multimodal data can play a key role to identify at-risk individuals. Chest X-rays (CXR) provide insights into chronic conditions contributing to major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), while 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) directly assesses cardiac electrical activity and structural abnormalities. Integrating CXR and ECG could offer a more comprehensive risk assessment than conventional models, which rely on clinical scores, computed tomography (CT) measurements, or biomarkers, which may be limited by sampling bias and single modality constraints. We propose a novel predictive modeling framework - MOSCARD, multimodal causal reasoning with co-attention to align two distinct modalities and simultaneously mitigate bias and confounders in opportunistic risk estimation. Primary technical contributions are - (i) multimodal alignment of CXR with ECG guidance; (ii) integration of causal reasoning; (iii) dual back-propagation graph for de-confounding. Evaluated on internal, shift data from emergency department (ED) and external MIMIC datasets, our model outperformed single modality and state-of-the-art foundational models - AUC: 0.75, 0.83, 0.71 respectively. Proposed cost-effective opportunistic screening enables early intervention, improving patient outcomes and reducing disparities.
Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。