交互式多目标偏好学习,兼顾软硬约束,提升高风险决策效率与信心
Interactive Multi-Objective Probabilistic Preference Learning with Soft and Hard Bounds
- 通过主动采样与概率偏好建模,动态缩小最优解集
- 在真实宫颈癌放疗案例中实现95%以上肿瘤覆盖,膀胱剂量<601cGy
- 支持用户快速表达偏好,适合医疗等高风险决策场景
高风险决策常需权衡多个竞争目标且评估成本高昂。例如,在腔内放疗中,临床医生需在最大化肿瘤覆盖(如>95%的期望目标或软约束)与严格器官剂量限制(如膀胱剂量<601cGy的硬约束)之间取得平衡。寻找符合隐含偏好的帕累托最优解极具挑战,因全面探索帕累托前沿在计算和认知上均不可行,需交互式框架引导。尽管决策者可利用领域知识通过软硬约束缩小搜索范围,但现有方法缺乏系统性迭代优化多维偏好结构的能力。此外,决策者需确信未遗漏更优方案,这在高风险场景中至关重要。本文提出Active-MoSH,一种交互式局部-全局框架。其局部组件结合概率偏好学习与主动采样策略,自适应精炼帕累托子集,降低认知负担;全局组件C-MoSH则通过多目标敏感性分析,识别可能被忽略的高价值点。我们在多种合成及真实世界应用中验证了该框架的优势。一项基于真实宫颈癌放疗计划的高风险案例研究和图像选择用户实验进一步证实,该框架能加速收敛、增强决策者信心,并支持灵活偏好表达。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
High-stakes decision-making involves navigating multiple competing objectives with expensive evaluations. For instance, in brachytherapy, clinicians must balance maximizing tumor coverage (e.g., an aspirational target or soft bound of >95% coverage) against strict organ dose limits (e.g., a non-negotiable hard bound of <601cGy to the bladder). Selecting Pareto-optimal solutions that match implicit preferences is challenging, as exhaustive Pareto frontier exploration is computationally and cognitively prohibitive, necessitating interactive frameworks to guide users. While decision-makers (DMs) often possess domain knowledge to narrow the search via such soft-hard bounds, current methods often lack systematic approaches to iteratively refine these multi-faceted preference structures. Furthermore, DMs often require confidence that they have not overlooked superior alternatives, a paramount necessity in high-stakes scenarios. We present Active-MoSH, an interactive local-global framework designed for this process. Its local component integrates probabilistic preference learning with an active sampling strategy to adaptively refine Pareto subsets while minimizing cognitive burden. To bolster decision confidence, Active-MoSH's global component, C-MoSH, leverages multi-objective sensitivity analysis to identify potentially overlooked, high-value points beyond immediate feedback. We demonstrate Active-MoSH's performance benefits through diverse synthetic and real-world applications. A high-stakes case study with real cervical cancer brachytherapy treatment plans and an image selection user study further validate our hypotheses regarding the framework's ability to improve convergence, enhance DM confidence, and provide expressive preference articulation.
Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。