arXiv:2507.00862cs.LG2025-07被引 1

用土豆电生理信号提前预测发芽,减少化学药剂浪费

Machine Learning-based Early Detection of Potato Sprouting Using Electrophysiological Signals

  • 通过电生理信号结合小波特征提取与机器学习建模
  • 可提前预测发芽日期,平均误差可控,部分样本精确到天
  • 适合需要精准控芽的储藏管理场景,尤其替代禁用药剂

在无可见发芽迹象前准确预测马铃薯发芽对有效储藏管理至关重要,因发芽会降低块茎的商品与营养价值。精准预测可实现抗发芽剂(ASCs)的精准施用,减少浪费并降低成本。随着因健康与环境问题被禁用的异丙基 N-(3-氯苯基)氨基甲酸酯(CIPC)或氯丙酰胺(Chlorpropham)的淘汰,替代品成本显著上升,该需求愈发紧迫。现有方法多依赖视觉识别,仅在形态变化后才能检测,难以实现主动管理。因此,建立可靠早期预测方法对及时干预、提升采后储藏效率至关重要。本文提出一种基于机器学习的新方法,利用专有传感器记录的马铃薯电生理信号,通过信号预处理、小波域特征提取,并训练监督学习模型进行早期发芽检测,同时引入不确定性量化技术增强预测可靠性。实验结果表明,该方法能准确预测部分马铃薯的发芽具体日期,整体平均误差可接受;尽管表现良好,仍需进一步优化以减小最大偏差。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Accurately predicting potato sprouting before the emergence of any visual signs is critical for effective storage management, as sprouting degrades both the commercial and nutritional value of tubers. Effective forecasting allows for the precise application of anti-sprouting chemicals (ASCs), minimizing waste and reducing costs. This need has become even more pressing following the ban on Isopropyl N-(3-chlorophenyl) carbamate (CIPC) or Chlorpropham due to health and environmental concerns, which has led to the adoption of significantly more expensive alternative ASCs. Existing approaches primarily rely on visual identification, which only detects sprouting after morphological changes have occurred, limiting their effectiveness for proactive management. A reliable early prediction method is therefore essential to enable timely intervention and improve the efficiency of post-harvest storage strategies, where early refers to detecting sprouting before any visible signs appear. In this work, we address the problem of early prediction of potato sprouting. To this end, we propose a novel machine learning (ML)-based approach that enables early prediction of potato sprouting using electrophysiological signals recorded from tubers using proprietary sensors. Our approach preprocesses the recorded signals, extracts relevant features from the wavelet domain, and trains supervised ML models for early sprouting detection. Additionally, we incorporate uncertainty quantification techniques to enhance predictions. Experimental results demonstrate promising performance in the early detection of potato sprouting by accurately predicting the exact day of sprouting for a subset of potatoes and while showing acceptable average error across all potatoes. Despite promising results, further refinements are necessary to minimize prediction errors, particularly in reducing the maximum observed deviations.

机器学习农业传感早期预警

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