arXiv:2507.03834cs.AI2025-07被引 3

用美元量化大模型的错误成本,指导实际部署决策。

Economic Evaluation of LLMs

  • 将模型性能折算为具体场景下的经济成本,统一衡量得失
  • 当错误成本超0.01美元时,推理模型更划算
  • 错误成本低于0.1美元时,单模型常优于多模型串联

实践中,从业者常通过绘制帕累托前沿来权衡大模型的准确率与成本。但此方法无法比较具有不同优劣特征的模型,例如廉价但易错的模型与昂贵但精准的模型。为此,我们提出大模型的经济评估框架。该框架基于具体应用场景的经济约束(以美元计),将模型性能权衡转化为单一数值:犯错成本、延迟增量成本及放弃查询的成本。我们将该框架应用于MATH基准上难问题的推理与非推理模型对比,发现当错误成本超过0.01美元时,推理模型的性价比更高。此外,当错误成本低至0.1美元时,单一大型模型通常优于模型级联结构。总体而言,在自动化有意义的人类任务时,应优先使用最强大的可用模型,而非追求最小化部署成本,因为部署成本往往远小于模型错误带来的经济影响。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Practitioners often navigate LLM performance trade-offs by plotting Pareto frontiers of optimal accuracy-cost trade-offs. However, this approach offers no way to compare between LLMs with distinct strengths and weaknesses: for example, a cheap, error-prone model vs a pricey but accurate one. To address this gap, we propose economic evaluation of LLMs. Our framework quantifies the performance trade-off of an LLM as a single number based on the economic constraints of a concrete use case, all expressed in dollars: the cost of making a mistake, the cost of incremental latency, and the cost of abstaining from a query. We apply our economic evaluation framework to compare the performance of reasoning and non-reasoning models on difficult questions from the MATH benchmark, discovering that reasoning models offer better accuracy-cost tradeoffs as soon as the economic cost of a mistake exceeds \$0.01. In addition, we find that single large LLMs often outperform cascades when the cost of making a mistake is as low as \$0.1. Overall, our findings suggest that when automating meaningful human tasks with AI models, practitioners should typically use the most powerful available model, rather than attempt to minimize AI deployment costs, since deployment costs are likely dwarfed by the economic impact of AI errors.

大模型评估经济成本决策优化

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