arXiv:2507.04434physics.soc-phcs.CV2025-07

通过街景图像分析发现,道路设计比限速令更能影响车速。

Street design and driving behavior: evidence from a large-scale study in Milan, Amsterdam, and Dubai

  • 用计算机视觉分析街景,量化街道特征对车速的影响。
  • 狭窄街区和密集建筑环境可降低车速10%以上。
  • 适合城市规划者优化道路设计以提升限速执行率。

近年来,许多城市将车速限制从50公里/小时降至30公里/小时,以提升道路安全、减少噪声污染并推广可持续出行方式。然而,驾驶员对新限速的遵守仍是一大挑战。本研究以米兰为例,探讨街道特征如何影响驾驶行为。通过基于计算机视觉的语义分割模型分析谷歌街景图像,大规模研究表明:街道越窄、建筑越密集,车速越低;视野越开阔、天空可见度越高,则车速越快。为验证结果普适性,研究扩展至阿姆斯特丹(欧洲历史城区)与迪拜(新兴汽车导向城市),结果基本一致。最后,构建机器学习模型预测车速,并模拟若米兰全域实施30公里/小时限速,合规率可提升约28%。该工具为城市规划者提供了可操作的设计干预依据。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

In recent years, cities have increasingly reduced speed limits from 50 km/h to 30 km/h to enhance road safety, reduce noise pollution, and promote sustainable modes of transportation. However, achieving compliance with these new limits remains a key challenge for urban planners. This study investigates drivers' compliance with the 30 km/h speed limit in Milan and examines how street characteristics influence driving behavior. Our findings suggest that the mere introduction of lower speed limits is not sufficient to reduce driving speeds effectively, highlighting the need to understand how street design can improve speed limit adherence. To comprehend this relationship, we apply computer vision-based semantic segmentation models to Google Street View images. A large-scale analysis reveals that narrower streets and densely built environments are associated with lower speeds, whereas roads with greater visibility and larger sky views encourage faster driving. To evaluate the influence of the local context on speeding behaviour, we apply the developed methodological framework to two additional cities: Amsterdam, which, similar to Milan, is a historic European city not originally developed for cars, and Dubai, which instead has developed in recent decades with a more car-centric design. The results of the analyses largely confirm the findings obtained in Milan, which demonstrates the broad applicability of the road design guidelines for driver speed compliance identified in this paper. Finally, we develop a machine learning model to predict driving speeds based on street characteristics. We showcase the model's predictive power by estimating the compliance with speed limits in Milan if the city were to adopt a 30 km/h speed limit city-wide. The tool provides actionable insights for urban planners, supporting the design of interventions to improve speed limit compliance.

城市设计车速管理计算机视觉智能交通

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