arXiv:2507.05150cs.MAcs.AI2025-07被引 1

研究突发航班对灾后机场救援效率的影响,发现航班越多越堵。

Effects of Unplanned Incoming Flights on Airport Relief Processes after a Major Natural Disaster

  • 用仿真模型模拟不同信息不确定下的货运操作
  • 1架突发航班影响小,但多架会显著增加等待时间
  • 适合灾害管理与机场调度研究人员参考

自然灾害的严重性逐年上升,影响众多人员生活。灾后响应阶段,机场是救援物资到达和人员疏散的重要枢纽,但常因突发运力需求而成为瓶颈。现有研究较少关注机场灾后运营问题。专家指出主要挑战在于:一是机场与进港航班间信息不对称,二是资源不足。本研究旨在分析在不同资源分配策略下,对进港航班信息不完整时,对灾后机场货物处理绩效的影响。构建基于代理的仿真模型,实现不同信息不确定性程度下的真实卸货策略。通过领域专家进行模型校准与验证。以平均周转时间为评估指标,包括卸货时间、登机时间及累计等待时间。结果表明,单架突发航班影响可忽略;但随着突发航班数量增加,所有等待时间均显著上升。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

The severity of natural disasters is increasing every year, impacting many people's lives. During the response phase of disasters, airports are important hubs where relief aid arrives and people need to be evacuated. However, the airport often forms a bottleneck in these relief operations due to the sudden need for increased capacity. Limited research has been done on the operational side of airport disaster management. Experts identify the main problems as, first, the asymmetry of information between the airport and incoming flights, and second, the lack of resources. The goal of this research is to understand the effects of incomplete knowledge of incoming flights with different resource allocation strategies on the performance of cargo handling operations at an airport after a natural disaster. An agent-based model is created, implementing realistic offloading strategies with different degrees of information uncertainty. Model calibration and verification are performed with experts in the field. The model performance is measured by the average turnaround time, which is divided into offloading time, boarding time, and cumulative waiting times. The results show that the effects of one unplanned aircraft are negligible. However, all waiting times increase with more arriving unplanned aircraft.

灾害响应机场调度仿真建模

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