arXiv:2507.07898cs.LGstat.AP2025-07被引 1

提出高效算法,从非线性时间序列中快速发现因果关系。

Efficient Causal Discovery for Autoregressive Time Series

  • 基于约束的新型算法,专为非线性自回归时间序列设计。
  • 计算复杂度显著降低,在数据少时仍保持高精度。
  • 适合需要快速准确因果推断的实际场景,如金融、气象分析。

本文提出一种针对非线性自回归时间序列的新型约束基础因果结构学习算法。与现有方法相比,该算法显著降低了计算复杂度,提升了大规模问题的效率和可扩展性。我们在合成数据集上进行了严格评估,结果表明,该算法不仅优于当前技术,而且在数据有限的情况下依然表现优异。这些结果凸显了其在需要从非线性时间序列中进行高效且精确因果推断的实际应用中的潜力。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

In this study, we present a novel constraint-based algorithm for causal structure learning specifically designed for nonlinear autoregressive time series. Our algorithm significantly reduces computational complexity compared to existing methods, making it more efficient and scalable to larger problems. We rigorously evaluate its performance on synthetic datasets, demonstrating that our algorithm not only outperforms current techniques, but also excels in scenarios with limited data availability. These results highlight its potential for practical applications in fields requiring efficient and accurate causal inference from nonlinear time series data.

因果发现时间序列高效算法

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