arXiv:2507.08605cs.LG2025-07中稿 · AAAI

用卫星数据监测印度旁遮普邦水稻节水技术推广情况,助力精准农业政策。

Machine Learning for Sustainable Rice Production: Region-Scale Monitoring of Water-Saving Practices in Punjab, India

  • 基于哨兵-1卫星影像,用机器学习分离播种与灌溉方式。
  • 对1400个农田验证,节水播种和交替灌溉识别准确率分别达0.8和0.74。
  • 可为政府提供区域级推广地图,指导水资源保护政策制定。

水稻种植为全球半数人口提供主食,但消耗约四分之一的全球淡水,占农田温室气体排放的48%。在地下水年均下降41.6厘米的旁遮普地区,推广节水种植技术至关重要。直接播种稻(DSR)和交替湿干法(AWD)可在不减产的前提下减少20%-40%灌溉用水。然而,缺乏空间覆盖的采纳数据阻碍了政策制定。本文提出一种机器学习框架,结合1,400个农田实地数据,利用哨兵-1卫星影像实现规模化监测。通过创新的维度解耦分类方法,仅依赖遥感数据即实现DSR与AWD的识别,F1得分分别为0.8和0.74。解释性分析表明,DSR分类稳定,而AWD识别依赖播种时间差异,因12天重访周期无法捕捉高频灌溉特征。模型应用于300万块农田,揭示了省级层面的采纳异质性,识别出政策干预的空白与机会。县级采纳率与政府估算高度一致(斯皮尔曼ρ=0.69,秩偏重叠=0.77),为可持续项目与气候行动提供可操作的数据工具。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Rice cultivation supplies half the world's population with staple food, while also being a major driver of freshwater depletion--consuming roughly a quarter of global freshwater--and accounting for approx. 48% of greenhouse gas emissions from croplands. In regions like Punjab, India, where groundwater levels are plummeting at 41.6 cm/year, adopting water-saving rice farming practices is critical. Direct-Seeded Rice (DSR) and Alternate Wetting and Drying (AWD) can cut irrigation water use by 20-40% without hurting yields, yet lack of spatial data on adoption impedes effective adaptation policy and climate action. We present a machine learning framework to bridge this data gap by monitoring sustainable rice farming at scale. In collaboration with agronomy experts and a large-scale farmer training program, we obtained ground-truth data from 1,400 fields across Punjab. Leveraging this partnership, we developed a novel dimensional classification approach that decouples sowing and irrigation practices, achieving F1 scores of 0.8 and 0.74 respectively, solely employing Sentinel-1 satellite imagery. Explainability analysis reveals that DSR classification is robust while AWD classification depends primarily on planting schedule differences, as Sentinel-1's 12-day revisit frequency cannot capture the higher frequency irrigation cycles characteristic of AWD practices. Applying this model across 3 million fields reveals spatial heterogeneity in adoption at the state level, highlighting gaps and opportunities for policy targeting. Our district-level adoption rates correlate well with government estimates (Spearman's $ρ$=0.69 and Rank Biased Overlap=0.77). This study provides policymakers and sustainability programs a powerful tool to track practice adoption, inform targeted interventions, and drive data-driven policies for water conservation and climate mitigation at regional scale.

水稻种植卫星遥感节水农业机器学习

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