用机器学习帮印度农户选最赚钱的作物,还支持语音操作。
A Hybrid Machine Learning Framework for Optimizing Crop Selection via Agronomic and Economic Forecasting
- 结合随机森林与LSTM模型,预测作物适宜性与市场价
- 土壤气候数据下作物适配准确率达98.5%,价格预测误差低
- 本地语音交互,让低识字率农户也能用上智能推荐
发展中国家如印度卡纳塔克邦的农民面临极端市场与气候波动,且因识字障碍被数字技术排除在外。本文提出一种新型决策支持系统,融合机器学习与人机交互,构建混合推荐引擎:采用随机森林分类器基于土壤、气候与实时天气数据评估作物农艺适宜性,同时利用长短期记忆(LSTM)网络预测适宜作物的收获期市场价格。该方法从“能否种植”转向“种什么最赚钱”,显著降低经济风险。系统通过端到端的本地卡纳达语语音界面实现,采用微调语音识别与高保真语音合成模型,保障低识字用户可访问性。实验表明,随机森林模型在适宜性预测中达到98.5%准确率,LSTM模型对收获期价格的预测误差极低。该方案以数据驱动、经济优化的推荐方式,为边缘化农业社区提供可扩展、有影响力的金融韧性提升路径。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Farmers in developing regions like Karnataka, India, face a dual challenge: navigating extreme market and climate volatility while being excluded from the digital revolution due to literacy barriers. This paper presents a novel decision support system that addresses both challenges through a unique synthesis of machine learning and human-computer interaction. We propose a hybrid recommendation engine that integrates two predictive models: a Random Forest classifier to assess agronomic suitability based on soil, climate, and real-time weather data, and a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network to forecast market prices for agronomically viable crops. This integrated approach shifts the paradigm from "what can grow?" to "what is most profitable to grow?", providing a significant advantage in mitigating economic risk. The system is delivered through an end-to-end, voice-based interface in the local Kannada language, leveraging fine-tuned speech recognition and high-fidelity speech synthesis models to ensure accessibility for low-literacy users. Our results show that the Random Forest model achieves 98.5% accuracy in suitability prediction, while the LSTM model forecasts harvest-time prices with a low margin of error. By providing data-driven, economically optimized recommendations through an inclusive interface, this work offers a scalable and impactful solution to enhance the financial resilience of marginalized farming communities.
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