AI可精准识别胸部CT中急性心衰征象,结果透明易懂。
Interpretable Artificial Intelligence for Detecting Acute Heart Failure on Acute Chest CT Scans
- 用12项心脏肺部测量值训练可解释模型,提升诊断准确率。
- 在独立测试集上AUC达0.87,接近放射科医生水平。
- 通过解释性分析发现报告错误导致部分误判,适合急诊辅助。
胸腔CT在呼吸困难患者中应用日益广泛,急性心衰(AHF)是重要鉴别诊断。但解读困难且报告常因放射科医生短缺而延迟,若能及时提示急诊医生则具治疗意义。本研究在2016-2021年丹麦哥本哈根大学医院开展单中心回顾性研究,使用提升树模型基于胸部CT中分割的心脏与肺部结构测量值预测AHF。诊断标签来自放射科报告。采用TotalSegmentator进行结构分割,利用SHAP值解释各测量值对最终预测的影响。共纳入4,672例患者,其中49%为女性。最终模型整合了12个关键特征,在独立测试集上取得0.87的ROC曲线下面积。专家放射科医生审查模型误分类病例发现,64例假阳性中有24例(38%)、61例假阴性中有24例(39%)实际为正确预测,错误源于初始报告不准确。结论:我们开发的可解释AI模型具备强区分能力,性能接近胸科放射科医生,其逐步透明的预测过程有助于临床决策支持。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Introduction: Chest CT scans are increasingly used in dyspneic patients where acute heart failure (AHF) is a key differential diagnosis. Interpretation remains challenging and radiology reports are frequently delayed due to a radiologist shortage, although flagging such information for emergency physicians would have therapeutic implication. Artificial intelligence (AI) can be a complementary tool to enhance the diagnostic precision. We aim to develop an explainable AI model to detect radiological signs of AHF in chest CT with an accuracy comparable to thoracic radiologists. Methods: A single-center, retrospective study during 2016-2021 at Copenhagen University Hospital - Bispebjerg and Frederiksberg, Denmark. A Boosted Trees model was trained to predict AHF based on measurements of segmented cardiac and pulmonary structures from acute thoracic CT scans. Diagnostic labels for training and testing were extracted from radiology reports. Structures were segmented with TotalSegmentator. Shapley Additive explanations values were used to explain the impact of each measurement on the final prediction. Results: Of the 4,672 subjects, 49% were female. The final model incorporated twelve key features of AHF and achieved an area under the ROC of 0.87 on the independent test set. Expert radiologist review of model misclassifications found that 24 out of 64 (38%) false positives and 24 out of 61 (39%) false negatives were actually correct model predictions, with the errors originating from inaccuracies in the initial radiology reports. Conclusion: We developed an explainable AI model with strong discriminatory performance, comparable to thoracic radiologists. The AI model's stepwise, transparent predictions may support decision-making.
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