让自动驾驶更懂他人行为,主动试探提高决策可靠性。
Active Probing with Multimodal Predictions for Motion Planning
- 用混合模型融合多种行为预测,动态评估风险。
- 在复杂交通中成功导航,应对多种不确定性行为。
- 适合研究自动驾驶决策与不确定性建模的学者。
动态环境中的导航需要自主系统对其他智能体的行为不确定性进行推理。本文提出一个统一框架,将轨迹规划、多模态预测与主动探查相结合,以提升不确定性下的决策能力。我们设计了一种新风险度量,通过混合模型无缝整合多模态预测不确定性;当不确定性服从高斯混合分布时,该度量具有闭式解且始终有限,保证了分析可处理性。为减少预测模糊性,引入主动探查机制,策略性选择动作以优化对其他智能体行为参数的估计,同时处理多模态不确定性。我们在MetaDrive仿真环境中广泛评估该框架,结果表明,所提主动探查方法能有效应对复杂交通场景中的不确定预测。此外,该框架在不同交通智能体行为模型下均表现出鲁棒性能,展现出对真实自动驾驶挑战的广泛适用性。代码与视频见https://darshangm.github.io/papers/active-probing-multimodal-predictions/。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Navigation in dynamic environments requires autonomous systems to reason about uncertainties in the behavior of other agents. In this paper, we introduce a unified framework that combines trajectory planning with multimodal predictions and active probing to enhance decision-making under uncertainty. We develop a novel risk metric that seamlessly integrates multimodal prediction uncertainties through mixture models. When these uncertainties follow a Gaussian mixture distribution, we prove that our risk metric admits a closed-form solution, and is always finite, thus ensuring analytical tractability. To reduce prediction ambiguity, we incorporate an active probing mechanism that strategically selects actions to improve its estimates of behavioral parameters of other agents, while simultaneously handling multimodal uncertainties. We extensively evaluate our framework in autonomous navigation scenarios using the MetaDrive simulation environment. Results demonstrate that our active probing approach successfully navigates complex traffic scenarios with uncertain predictions. Additionally, our framework shows robust performance across diverse traffic agent behavior models, indicating its broad applicability to real-world autonomous navigation challenges. Code and videos are available at https://darshangm.github.io/papers/active-probing-multimodal-predictions/.
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