arXiv:2507.17043quant-phcs.AI2025-07被引 2

用数据驱动方法预测量子计算噪声下的性能边界,提升系统调度效率。

Computational Performance Bounds Prediction in Quantum Computing with Unstable Noise

  • 通过分解历史性能数据分离噪声源,结合LSTM编码电路与噪声信息
  • 预测结果在10^6倍速度上超越模拟,且边界范围比现有方法窄10倍以上
  • 适合需要高精度性能预估的量子计算系统管理与任务调度场景

近年来量子计算发展迅速,具备数百个量子比特的设备已出现,展现出超越经典计算的潜力。然而,量子设备中的噪声成为实现这一优势的主要障碍。理解噪声影响对可复现性与应用复用至关重要;此外,下一代以量子为中心的超级计算机亟需高效准确的噪声表征来支持系统管理(如任务调度),确保任务在可用设备上的正确功能性能(即保真度)甚至优先于传统目标。然而,噪声随时间波动,即使在同一设备上也如此,因此实时预测计算性能边界至关重要。嘈杂量子模拟虽能提供洞见,但存在效率和可扩展性问题。本文提出一种数据驱动的工作流QuBound,用于预测计算性能边界。它将历史性能轨迹分解以隔离噪声源,并设计新型编码器,结合长短期记忆网络(LSTM)处理电路与噪声信息。评估中,我们对比了现有最先进的基于学习的预测器——仅输出单一性能值,而非边界。实验表明,现有方法的结果超出性能边界,而我们的QuBound结合性能分解后所有预测均更贴合边界。此外,QuBound在多种电路上实现超过10^6倍的速度提升,且预测范围比现有分析方法窄10倍以上。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Quantum computing has significantly advanced in recent years, boasting devices with hundreds of quantum bits (qubits), hinting at its potential quantum advantage over classical computing. Yet, noise in quantum devices poses significant barriers to realizing this supremacy. Understanding noise's impact is crucial for reproducibility and application reuse; moreover, the next-generation quantum-centric supercomputing essentially requires efficient and accurate noise characterization to support system management (e.g., job scheduling), where ensuring correct functional performance (i.e., fidelity) of jobs on available quantum devices can even be higher-priority than traditional objectives. However, noise fluctuates over time, even on the same quantum device, which makes predicting the computational bounds for on-the-fly noise is vital. Noisy quantum simulation can offer insights but faces efficiency and scalability issues. In this work, we propose a data-driven workflow, namely QuBound, to predict computational performance bounds. It decomposes historical performance traces to isolate noise sources and devises a novel encoder to embed circuit and noise information processed by a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) network. For evaluation, we compare QuBound with a state-of-the-art learning-based predictor, which only generates a single performance value instead of a bound. Experimental results show that the result of the existing approach falls outside of performance bounds, while all predictions from our QuBound with the assistance of performance decomposition better fit the bounds. Moreover, QuBound can efficiently produce practical bounds for various circuits with over 106 speedup over simulation; in addition, the range from QuBound is over 10x narrower than the state-of-the-art analytical approach.

量子计算噪声预测性能边界LSTM

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