arXiv:2507.19517cs.LGcs.AI2025-07中稿 · publication in the…

用生成模型补全稀疏骑行数据,提升城市道路骑行量估算精度

BikeVAE-GNN: A Variational Autoencoder-Augmented Hybrid Graph Neural Network for Sparse Bicycle Volume Estimation

  • 混合图神经网络结合GCN/GAT/GraphSAGE建模空间关系
  • 变分自编码器生成虚拟节点与边,缓解99%数据缺失问题
  • 同时完成骑行量预测与交通等级分类,适合智慧交通规划者

精准的路段级骑行量估计对城市交通规划至关重要,但全球范围内普遍存在骑行计数数据极度稀疏的问题。本文提出BikeVAE-GNN,一种融合变分自编码器(VAE)的混合图神经网络双任务框架,用于估计日均骑行量(ADB)。该模型通过混合图卷积网络(GCN、GAT、GraphSAGE)有效捕捉稀疏网络中的复杂空间关系,并利用VAE生成合成节点与边,增强图结构以提升估计性能。BikeVAE-GNN同时执行回归(骑行量估计)与分类(骑行交通等级划分)。基于墨尔本市的开放街道地图数据及公开骑行计数数据验证:15,933条道路段中仅141条有标签数据,数据稀疏率达99%。实验表明,该模型优于传统机器学习与基线GNN模型,达到30.82辆/天的平均绝对误差,分类准确率99%,F1分数0.99。消融实验进一步证实混合图神经网络与VAE组件的有效性。研究为稀疏网络下的骑行量估计提供了先进方法,助力可持续骑行基础设施建设。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Accurate link-level bicycle volume estimation is essential for informed urban and transport planning but it is challenged by extremely sparse count data in urban bicycling networks worldwide. We propose BikeVAE-GNN, a novel dual-task framework augmenting a Hybrid Graph Neural Network (GNN) with Variational Autoencoder (VAE) to estimate Average Daily Bicycle (ADB) counts, addressing sparse bicycle networks. The Hybrid-GNN combines Graph Convolutional Networks (GCN), Graph Attention Networks (GAT), and GraphSAGE to effectively model intricate spatial relationships in sparse networks while VAE generates synthetic nodes and edges to enrich the graph structure and enhance the estimation performance. BikeVAE-GNN simultaneously performs - regression for bicycling volume estimation and classification for bicycling traffic level categorization. We demonstrate the effectiveness of BikeVAE-GNN using OpenStreetMap data and publicly available bicycle count data within the City of Melbourne - where only 141 of 15,933 road segments have labeled counts (resulting in 99% count data sparsity). Our experiments show that BikeVAE-GNN outperforms machine learning and baseline GNN models, achieving a mean absolute error (MAE) of 30.82 bicycles per day, accuracy of 99% and F1-score of 0.99. Ablation studies further validate the effective role of Hybrid-GNN and VAE components. Our research advances bicycling volume estimation in sparse networks using novel and state-of-the-art approaches, providing insights for sustainable bicycling infrastructures.

图神经网络骑行量预测数据补全城市交通

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