arXiv:2507.21334stat.MLcs.LG2025-07

用图神经网络建模住房选址,融合经典选择模型与深度学习优势

Graph neural networks for residential location choice: connection to classical logit models

  • 引入GNN捕捉空间选项间的依赖关系,通过消息传递模拟效用交互
  • 在芝加哥77个社区数据上优于MNL、SCL和前馈神经网络,预测准确率提升显著
  • 能识别个体差异和空间替代模式,适合复杂空间决策场景研究

研究人员将深度学习用于经典离散选择分析,以捕捉复杂特征关系并提升预测性能。然而,现有方法难以显式建模选择选项间的关联,而这是经典离散选择模型长期关注的核心问题。为此,本文提出基于图神经网络(GNN)的离散选择模型(GNN-DCMs),为神经网络提供结构化方式捕捉空间选项间的依赖关系,同时保持与经典随机效用理论的清晰联系。理论上,我们证明GNN-DCMs包含嵌套对数几率模型(NL)和空间相关对数几率模型(SCL)作为特例,通过选项间效用的消息传递机制赋予其新的算法解释。实证结果表明,GNN-DCMs在预测芝加哥77个社区的住房选址时,优于基准的MNL、SCL及前馈神经网络模型。在模型可解释性方面,该模型能捕捉个体异质性,并表现出空间感知的替代模式。总体而言,这些结果凸显了GNN-DCMs在复杂空间选择情境下融合离散选择建模与深度学习的潜力,是一种统一且表达力强的新框架。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Researchers have adopted deep learning for classical discrete choice analysis as it can capture complex feature relationships and achieve higher predictive performance. However, the existing deep learning approaches cannot explicitly capture the relationship among choice alternatives, which has been a long-lasting focus in classical discrete choice models. To address the gap, this paper introduces Graph Neural Network (GNN) as a novel framework to analyze residential location choice. The GNN-based discrete choice models (GNN-DCMs) offer a structured approach for neural networks to capture dependence among spatial alternatives, while maintaining clear connections to classical random utility theory. Theoretically, we demonstrate that the GNN-DCMs incorporate the nested logit (NL) model and the spatially correlated logit (SCL) model as two specific cases, yielding novel algorithmic interpretation through message passing among alternatives' utilities. Empirically, the GNN-DCMs outperform benchmark MNL, SCL, and feedforward neural networks in predicting residential location choices among Chicago's 77 community areas. Regarding model interpretation, the GNN-DCMs can capture individual heterogeneity and exhibit spatially-aware substitution patterns. Overall, these results highlight the potential of GNN-DCMs as a unified and expressive framework for synergizing discrete choice modeling and deep learning in the complex spatial choice contexts.

图神经网络住房选址离散选择空间建模

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