用马尔可夫模型+国际电联传播模型,精准预测频谱空档。
Scalable Spectrum Availability Prediction using a Markov Chain Framework and ITU-R Propagation Models
- 结合马尔可夫链与ITU-R传播模型,建模主用户活动与信号衰减。
- 在多场景下实现时空联合预测,准确率高且计算开销低。
- 适合实时动态频谱共享系统,如认知无线电网络。
频谱资源常在时间和空间上闲置,推动了动态频谱接入策略的发展,使次级用户可在不干扰主用户的前提下利用空闲频段。核心挑战在于预测何时何地频谱将可用。本文提出一种可扩展的频谱可用性预测框架,结合两状态马尔可夫链对主用户活动进行建模,并融合国际电联(ITU-R)推荐标准P.528和P.2108中的高保真传播模型,考虑路径损耗与障碍物影响,判断主信号是否在次级用户位置超过干扰阈值。通过整合二者,该方法能同时在时间和空间维度上预测频谱空档。我们构建了系统模型与算法,分析其可扩展性与计算效率,讨论假设、局限性及潜在应用。该框架灵活,适用于不同频段与场景。结果表明,该方法能以较低计算成本有效识别可用频谱,适用于认知无线电网络等实时频谱管理系统。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Spectrum resources are often underutilized across time and space, motivating dynamic spectrum access strategies that allow secondary users to exploit unused frequencies. A key challenge is predicting when and where spectrum will be available (i.e., unused by primary licensed users) in order to enable proactive and interference-free access. This paper proposes a scalable framework for spectrum availability prediction that combines a two-state Markov chain model of primary user activity with high-fidelity propagation models from the ITU-R (specifically Recommendations P.528 and P.2108). The Markov chain captures temporal occupancy patterns, while the propagation models incorporate path loss and clutter effects to determine if primary signals exceed interference thresholds at secondary user locations. By integrating these components, the proposed method can predict spectrum opportunities both in time and space with improved accuracy. We develop the system model and algorithm for the approach, analyze its scalability and computational efficiency, and discuss assumptions, limitations, and potential applications. The framework is flexible and can be adapted to various frequency bands and scenarios. The results and analysis show that the proposed approach can effectively identify available spectrum with low computational cost, making it suitable for real-time spectrum management in cognitive radio networks and other dynamic spectrum sharing systems.
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