arXiv:2508.00961cs.LGcs.AI2025-08ACL被引 6

用实时事件构建金融知识图谱,提升AI炒股预测准确率

FinKario: Event-Enhanced Automated Construction of Financial Knowledge Graph

  • 基于机构模板自动提取财报与事件数据,构建动态金融图谱
  • 图谱+检索策略使股票趋势预测准确率比专业策略高17.85%
  • 适合想用AI做量化投资或金融分析的人参考

个人投资者在金融市场中数量庞大却信息劣势,面对海量资讯缺乏专业分析能力。股票研究报告是关键资源,可借助大语言模型(LLMs)提升决策能力。但两大挑战限制其效果:一是市场事件更新快于现有知识库的更新周期,二是报告内容长且非结构化,阻碍LLM及时获取上下文信息。为此,我们从数据和方法双方面入手:首先提出FinKario,一个包含超30.5万实体、9,625个关系三元组、19种关系类型的事件增强型金融知识图谱,通过提示驱动的方式,基于专业机构模板自动整合实时公司基本面与市场事件,为LLMs提供结构化金融洞察;其次提出两阶段图结构检索策略(FinKario-RAG),优化大规模、动态金融知识的高效精准访问。大量实验表明,结合FinKario与FinKario-RAG,在回测中股票趋势预测准确率平均超越金融LLMs 18.81%,超越机构策略17.85%。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Individual investors are significantly outnumbered and disadvantaged in financial markets, overwhelmed by abundant information and lacking professional analysis. Equity research reports stand out as crucial resources, offering valuable insights. By leveraging these reports, large language models (LLMs) can enhance investors' decision-making capabilities and strengthen financial analysis. However, two key challenges limit their effectiveness: (1) the rapid evolution of market events often outpaces the slow update cycles of existing knowledge bases, (2) the long-form and unstructured nature of financial reports further hinders timely and context-aware integration by LLMs. To address these challenges, we tackle both data and methodological aspects. First, we introduce the Event-Enhanced Automated Construction of Financial Knowledge Graph (FinKario), a dataset comprising over 305,360 entities, 9,625 relational triples, and 19 distinct relation types. FinKario automatically integrates real-time company fundamentals and market events through prompt-driven extraction guided by professional institutional templates, providing structured and accessible financial insights for LLMs. Additionally, we propose a Two-Stage, Graph-Based retrieval strategy (FinKario-RAG), optimizing the retrieval of evolving, large-scale financial knowledge to ensure efficient and precise data access. Extensive experiments show that FinKario with FinKario-RAG achieves superior stock trend prediction accuracy, outperforming financial LLMs by 18.81% and institutional strategies by 17.85% on average in backtesting.

金融AI知识图谱大模型应用量化投资

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