arXiv:2508.03756stat.APcs.LG2025-08被引 14

融合加速度与非加速度数据,用贝叶斯模型提升老人跌倒风险预测准确率。

Predicting fall risk in older adults: A machine learning comparison of accelerometric and non-accelerometric factors

  • 结合加速度计与非加速度数据训练机器学习模型
  • 贝叶斯岭回归达最高精度(MSE=0.6746,R²=0.9941)
  • 适合关注老年跌倒预防的临床与健康科技研究者

本研究基于146名老年人的加速度计、非加速度计及两者结合的数据,对比多种机器学习模型在跌倒风险预测中的表现。结果显示,融合两类数据的模型性能最优,其中贝叶斯岭回归表现最佳,均方误差为0.6746,决定系数达0.9941。年龄、共病等非加速度计变量对预测具有关键作用。研究支持采用集成数据与贝叶斯方法提升跌倒风险评估能力,为预防策略提供依据。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

This study investigates fall risk prediction in older adults using various machine learning models trained on accelerometric, non-accelerometric, and combined data from 146 participants. Models combining both data types achieved superior performance, with Bayesian Ridge Regression showing the highest accuracy (MSE = 0.6746, R2 = 0.9941). Non-accelerometric variables, such as age and comorbidities, proved critical for prediction. Results support the use of integrated data and Bayesian approaches to enhance fall risk assessment and inform prevention strategies.

跌倒预测机器学习老年健康

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