arXiv:2508.03863cs.LGcs.NI2025-08中稿 · be presented at IE…被引 2

用用户数据和迁移学习,精准预测频谱需求

Data-Driven Spectrum Demand Prediction: A Spatio-Temporal Framework with Transfer Learning

  • 融合用户侧性能指标与监管数据,构建时空预测框架
  • 相比ITU模型,预测更准确且跨区域适用性更强
  • 适合政策制定者和频谱管理机构参考使用

精确的频谱需求预测对明智的频谱分配、有效的监管规划以及现代无线通信网络的可持续发展至关重要。它支持国际电信联盟(ITU)等机构推动公平的频谱分配政策、改进拍卖机制,并满足5G增强版、6G及物联网(IoT)等新兴技术的需求。本文提出一种高效的时空预测框架,利用众包用户侧关键性能指标(KPIs)和监管数据,建模并预测频谱需求。该方法通过先进的特征工程、全面的相关性分析和迁移学习技术,实现了更高的预测精度和跨区域泛化能力。与传统ITU模型相比,该方法摒弃了人为假设和不切实际的输入,基于细粒度的数据驱动洞察,充分考虑频谱使用中的时空变化。与ITU估算结果的对比评估表明,本框架能提供更真实、更具可操作性的预测。实验结果验证了方法的有效性,凸显其在提升频谱管理和规划方面的潜力。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Accurate spectrum demand prediction is crucial for informed spectrum allocation, effective regulatory planning, and fostering sustainable growth in modern wireless communication networks. It supports governmental efforts, particularly those led by the international telecommunication union (ITU), to establish fair spectrum allocation policies, improve auction mechanisms, and meet the requirements of emerging technologies such as advanced 5G, forthcoming 6G, and the internet of things (IoT). This paper presents an effective spatio-temporal prediction framework that leverages crowdsourced user-side key performance indicators (KPIs) and regulatory datasets to model and forecast spectrum demand. The proposed methodology achieves superior prediction accuracy and cross-regional generalizability by incorporating advanced feature engineering, comprehensive correlation analysis, and transfer learning techniques. Unlike traditional ITU models, which are often constrained by arbitrary inputs and unrealistic assumptions, this approach exploits granular, data-driven insights to account for spatial and temporal variations in spectrum utilization. Comparative evaluations against ITU estimates, as the benchmark, underscore our framework's capability to deliver more realistic and actionable predictions. Experimental results validate the efficacy of our methodology, highlighting its potential as a robust approach for policymakers and regulatory bodies to enhance spectrum management and planning.

频谱预测时空模型迁移学习

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