提出无需通信的联邦交通预测框架,提升效率并保持精度。
Channel-Independent Federated Traffic Prediction
- 采用独立信道建模,各节点仅用本地数据完成预测
- 在多个数据集上实现RMSE降低8%、MAE降低14%、MAPE降低16%
- 适合大规模隐私敏感交通系统部署
近年来,交通预测取得了显著进展,已成为智能交通系统的核心组成部分。然而,交通数据通常分散在多个数据拥有者之间,隐私限制使得直接利用这些孤立数据集进行预测成为难题。现有联邦交通预测方法多聚焦于设计通信机制,使模型能借助其他客户端信息提升预测精度,但此类方法常导致高昂的通信开销,传输延迟严重拖慢训练进程。随着交通数据量持续增长,这一问题日益突出,现有方法的资源消耗已难以为继。为此,本文提出一种新型可变关系建模范式——信道独立范式(Channel-Independent Paradigm, CIP),摒弃客户端间通信需求,使每个节点仅依赖本地信息即可实现高效准确的预测。基于CIP,进一步构建了高效联邦学习框架Fed-CI,使各客户端独立处理自身数据,同时有效缓解因缺乏直接数据共享带来的信息损失。实验表明,Fed-CI显著降低通信开销,加速训练过程,在多个真实世界数据集上均达当前最优性能:在RMSE、MAE和MAPE指标上分别提升8%、14%、16%,且符合隐私保护要求。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
In recent years, traffic prediction has achieved remarkable success and has become an integral component of intelligent transportation systems. However, traffic data is typically distributed among multiple data owners, and privacy constraints prevent the direct utilization of these isolated datasets for traffic prediction. Most existing federated traffic prediction methods focus on designing communication mechanisms that allow models to leverage information from other clients in order to improve prediction accuracy. Unfortunately, such approaches often incur substantial communication overhead, and the resulting transmission delays significantly slow down the training process. As the volume of traffic data continues to grow, this issue becomes increasingly critical, making the resource consumption of current methods unsustainable. To address this challenge, we propose a novel variable relationship modeling paradigm for federated traffic prediction, termed the Channel-Independent Paradigm(CIP). Unlike traditional approaches, CIP eliminates the need for inter-client communication by enabling each node to perform efficient and accurate predictions using only local information. Based on the CIP, we further develop Fed-CI, an efficient federated learning framework, allowing each client to process its own data independently while effectively mitigating the information loss caused by the lack of direct data sharing among clients. Fed-CI significantly reduces communication overhead, accelerates the training process, and achieves state-of-the-art performance while complying with privacy regulations. Extensive experiments on multiple real-world datasets demonstrate that Fed-CI consistently outperforms existing methods across all datasets and federated settings. It achieves improvements of 8%, 14%, and 16% in RMSE, MAE, and MAPE, respectively, while also substantially reducing communication costs.
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