arXiv:2508.06732cs.HCcs.LG2025-08被引 2

用自组织映射与大模型分析气候模型的差异,直观发现投影模式。

ClimateSOM: A Visual Analysis Workflow for Climate Ensemble Datasets

  • 将气候模型输出映射到二维空间,捕捉不同模拟结果的差异分布。
  • 通过大模型辅助解释二维空间中的聚类和模式,提升可读性。
  • 适合气候科学家探索模型不确定性,尤其适用于区域降水预测研究。

集成数据集在多个科学领域日益普遍。在气候科学中,集成数据集用于捕捉未来温室气体和气溶胶排放情景下的投影变异性。每个模型运行产生基本相似但意义不同的预测结果。理解这些模型运行之间的变异性及其程度与模式,是气候科学家的关键任务。本文提出ClimateSOM,一种融合自组织映射(SOM)与大语言模型(LLM)的可视化分析工作流,支持对气候集成数据集的交互式探索与解读。该工作流将气候集成模型运行——时空时间序列——抽象为二维空间上的分布,利用SOM捕捉模型间的变异性。同时整合LLM以辅助对二维空间中模式的理解,支撑可视化分析任务。整体上,ClimateSOM使用户能够探索模型运行间的差异、识别模式、比较与聚类模型运行。我们以美国加州及西北部地区降水投影的集成数据集为例,展示该方法的实用性。此外,我们对LLM集成进行了简要评估,并邀请六位领域专家开展专家评审,验证工作流的有效性与洞察价值。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Ensemble datasets are ever more prevalent in various scientific domains. In climate science, ensemble datasets are used to capture variability in projections under plausible future conditions including greenhouse and aerosol emissions. Each ensemble model run produces projections that are fundamentally similar yet meaningfully distinct. Understanding this variability among ensemble model runs and analyzing its magnitude and patterns is a vital task for climate scientists. In this paper, we present ClimateSOM, a visual analysis workflow that leverages a self-organizing map (SOM) and Large Language Models (LLMs) to support interactive exploration and interpretation of climate ensemble datasets. The workflow abstracts climate ensemble model runs - spatiotemporal time series - into a distribution over a 2D space that captures the variability among the ensemble model runs using a SOM. LLMs are integrated to assist in sensemaking of this SOM-defined 2D space, the basis for the visual analysis tasks. In all, ClimateSOM enables users to explore the variability among ensemble model runs, identify patterns, compare and cluster the ensemble model runs. To demonstrate the utility of ClimateSOM, we apply the workflow to an ensemble dataset of precipitation projections over California and the Northwestern United States. Furthermore, we conduct a short evaluation of our LLM integration, and conduct an expert review of the visual workflow and the insights from the case studies with six domain experts to evaluate our approach and its utility.

气候建模可视化分析自组织映射大模型

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