让预测模型随学生干预后表现自动优化,提升教育干预精准度。
Designing a Feedback-Driven Decision Support System for Dynamic Student Intervention
- 构建闭环系统,用增量训练动态更新预测模型。
- 重训后RMSE降低10.7%,干预学生预测成绩持续上升。
- 支持实时交互与可解释性,适合教育机构落地使用。
准确预测学生学业表现对及时开展学术干预至关重要。然而,现有教育场景中的机器学习模型多为静态,缺乏在新数据(如干预后结果)出现时的自适应能力。为此,我们提出一种反馈驱动的决策支持系统(DSS),采用闭环架构实现模型持续优化。系统基于LightGBM回归器,支持增量再训练,允许教育者输入更新的学生表现数据,自动触发模型更新。该机制通过学习真实学术进展,显著提升预测精度。平台配备Flask Web界面以支持实时交互,并集成SHAP(SHapley Additive exPlanations)提供模型可解释性,保障预测透明可信。实验表明,再训练后RMSE下降10.7%,接受干预学生的预测分数一致上调。本方法将静态预测模型转化为自我进化系统,推动教育数据分析向以人为本、数据驱动且响应灵敏的人工智能演进。框架设计支持无缝集成至学习管理系统(LMS)和机构仪表板,便于在真实教育环境中部署。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Accurate prediction of student performance is essential for enabling timely academic interventions. However, most machine learning models used in educational settings are static and lack the ability to adapt when new data such as post-intervention outcomes become available. To address this limitation, we propose a Feedback-Driven Decision Support System (DSS) with a closed-loop architecture that enables continuous model refinement. The system employs a LightGBM-based regressor with incremental retraining, allowing educators to input updated student performance data, which automatically triggers model updates. This adaptive mechanism enhances prediction accuracy by learning from real-world academic progress over time. The platform features a Flask-based web interface to support real-time interaction and integrates SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations) for model interpretability, ensuring transparency and trustworthiness in predictions. Experimental results demonstrate a 10.7% reduction in RMSE after retraining, with consistent upward adjustments in predicted scores for students who received interventions. By transforming static predictive models into self-improving systems, our approach advances educational analytics toward human-centered, data-driven, and responsive artificial intelligence. The framework is designed for seamless integration into Learning Management Systems (LMS) and institutional dashboards, facilitating practical deployment in real educational environments.
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