用元学习选最佳算法,提升真实网络中缺失链接预测准确率
Meta-learning optimizes predictions of missing links in real-world networks
- 基于网络特征自动选择最优预测算法,实现个性化优化
- 在550个真实网络上测试,随机森林堆叠在AUC上表现最优
- 适用于社交网络、经济与生物网络,尤其适合大规模数据
关系型数据广泛存在于现实应用中,如社交网络分析或生物建模,但网络几乎总是不完整的。当前预测缺失链接的主流方法是模型堆叠或神经网络技术,但尚不清楚哪种方法最优,以及算法选择是否依赖于网络特性。本文通过一个包含550个结构多样化的现实网络基准,在两个标准评估指标(AUC和Top-k)下,对比了4种堆叠算法、42种拓扑链接预测器(其中2个为新提出)、以及2种图神经网络算法。结果表明:无算法在所有网络上均最优;多数算法在社交网络上表现良好,但在经济与生物网络上表现较差;整体而言,使用随机森林的模型堆叠在AUC上超越图神经网络,且在Top-k上具有竞争力。算法性能显著受度分布、三角密度和度相关性等网络特征影响。为此,我们提出一种元学习算法,根据网络特征动态选择最优预测方法,该方法在所有测试网络上优于现有最优算法,并可扩展至大规模网络。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Relational data are ubiquitous in real-world data applications, e.g., in social network analysis or biological modeling, but networks are nearly always incompletely observed. The state-of-the-art for predicting missing links in the hard case of a network without node attributes uses model stacking or neural network techniques. It remains unknown which approach is best, and whether or how the best choice of algorithm depends on the input network's characteristics. We answer these questions systematically using a large, structurally diverse benchmark of 550 real-world networks under two standard accuracy measures (AUC and Top-k), comparing four stacking algorithms with 42 topological link predictors, two of which we introduce here, and two graph neural network algorithms. We show that no algorithm is best across all input networks, all algorithms perform well on most social networks, and few perform well on economic and biological networks. Overall, model stacking with a random forest is both highly scalable and surpasses on AUC or is competitive with graph neural networks on Top-k accuracy. But, algorithm performance depends strongly on network characteristics like the degree distribution, triangle density, and degree assortativity. We introduce a meta-learning algorithm that exploits this variability to optimize link predictions for individual networks by selecting the best algorithm to apply, which we show outperforms all state-of-the-art algorithms and scales to large networks.
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