arXiv:2508.09810cs.LGstat.AP2025-08被引 1

用机器学习分析跳远高手的生物力学特征,找出决定顶尖成绩的关键技术点。

Feature Impact Analysis on Top Long-Jump Performances with Quantile Random Forest and Explainable AI Techniques

  • 用分位数随机森林建模跳远表现与生物力学特征的关系。
  • 男性选手起跳前支撑腿膝角大于169°显著提升成绩,女性则重在落地姿势和助跑技术。
  • 结合SHAP等可解释技术,让算法决策透明可懂,适合运动科学与数据分析研究者。

生物力学特征已成为评估运动员技术的重要指标。传统上专家基于物理方程提出关键特征,但人体运动复杂,难以明确分析部分特征与最终成绩的关系。本研究利用机器学习方法分析世界田径锦标赛跳远决赛中专家提出的生物力学特征。目标是识别对顶尖成绩贡献最大的特征,并探索这些关键特征的协同效应。采用分位数回归建模生物力学特征集与目标变量(有效距离)之间的关系,重点关注精英级跳跃表现。为解释模型,结合使用SHapley Additive exPlanations(SHAP)、部分依赖图(PDPs)及个体条件期望图(ICE)。结果表明,除广为人知的速度相关特征外,特定技术细节也起关键作用:男性选手中,起跳前支撑腿膝角超过169°显著促进成绩;女性选手则以落地姿态和助跑步法最为重要,同时速度仍具影响。本研究建立了一个分析各类特征对运动表现影响的框架,特别聚焦于顶尖赛事表现。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Biomechanical features have become important indicators for evaluating athletes' techniques. Traditionally, experts propose significant features and evaluate them using physics equations. However, the complexity of the human body and its movements makes it challenging to explicitly analyze the relationships between some features and athletes' final performance. With advancements in modern machine learning and statistics, data analytics methods have gained increasing importance in sports analytics. In this study, we leverage machine learning models to analyze expert-proposed biomechanical features from the finals of long jump competitions in the World Championships. The objectives of the analysis include identifying the most important features contributing to top-performing jumps and exploring the combined effects of these key features. Using quantile regression, we model the relationship between the biomechanical feature set and the target variable (effective distance), with a particular focus on elite-level jumps. To interpret the model, we apply SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) alongside Partial Dependence Plots (PDPs) and Individual Conditional Expectation (ICE) plots. The findings reveal that, beyond the well-documented velocity-related features, specific technical aspects also play a pivotal role. For male athletes, the angle of the knee of the supporting leg before take-off is identified as a key factor for achieving top 10% performance in our dataset, with angles greater than 169°contributing significantly to jump performance. In contrast, for female athletes, the landing pose and approach step technique emerge as the most critical features influencing top 10% performances, alongside velocity. This study establishes a framework for analyzing the impact of various features on athletic performance, with a particular emphasis on top-performing events.

运动分析可解释AI跳远机器学习

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