arXiv:2508.10917cs.HCcs.AI2025-08

用操作日志数据预测核电站报警响应,无需穿戴设备。

Managing the unexpected: Operator behavioural data and its value in predicting correct alarm responses

  • 通过操作日志和过程数据建模行为模式。
  • 识别出可预测报警响应结果的关键行为指标。
  • 适合安全监控与人因工程研究者参考。

生理测量数据能为控制室操作员的行为、认知及心理负荷提供新视角,尤其在评估其应对关键工况(如关键报警场景)的能力时尤为有用。然而,眼动追踪和脑电帽等可穿戴生理监测工具常被视为侵入性过强,不适用于日常操作。因此,本文探讨了在异常场景下,从分布式控制系统历史记录或过程日志中实时获取的操作员-系统交互数据的潜力,这些数据可在不干扰日常任务的前提下,揭示操作员行为并预测其响应结果。研究基于甲醛生产装置模拟器,采用四种人机协同实验配置开展设计实验,比较不同配置下的行为与绩效表现。利用逐步逻辑回归和贝叶斯网络模型分析数据,识别出若干具有预测能力的指标,并讨论其作为系统整体性能前兆的价值。实时获取相关且可预测的行为指标,有助于决策者提前预判结果,并及时为操作员提供支持措施。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Data from psychophysiological measures can offer new insight into control room operators' behaviour, cognition, and mental workload status. This can be particularly helpful when combined with appraisal of capacity to respond to possible critical plant conditions (i.e. critical alarms response scenarios). However, wearable physiological measurement tools such as eye tracking and EEG caps can be perceived as intrusive and not suitable for usage in daily operations. Therefore, this article examines the potential of using real-time data from process and operator-system interactions during abnormal scenarios that can be recorded and retrieved from the distributed control system's historian or process log, and their capacity to provide insight into operator behavior and predict their response outcomes, without intruding on daily tasks. Data for this study were obtained from a design of experiment using a formaldehyde production plant simulator and four human-in-the-loop experimental support configurations. A comparison between the different configurations in terms of both behaviour and performance is presented in this paper. A step-wise logistic regression and a Bayesian network models were used to achieve this objective. The results identified some predictive metrics and the paper discuss their value as precursor or predictor of overall system performance in alarm response scenarios. Knowledge of relevant and predictive behavioural metrics accessible in real time can better equip decision-makers to predict outcomes and provide timely support measures for operators.

人因工程报警系统行为预测

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