arXiv:2508.11416cs.AI2025-08被引 5

测试大模型在库存管理中的决策偏见,发现其像人一样易受误导。

AIM-Bench: Evaluating Decision-making Biases of Agentic LLM as Inventory Manager

  • 设计新基准测试大模型库存决策行为
  • 不同模型均有类似人类的决策偏见
  • 提出反思与信息共享来减轻偏差

大语言模型(LLMs)在数学推理和长期规划方面的新进展推动了智能体的发展,这些智能体正被越来越多地应用于业务运营流程中。优化库存水平的决策模型是运营管理的核心组成部分。然而,目前对大模型智能体在不确定情境下进行库存决策的能力及其潜在决策偏见(如框架效应等)仍缺乏深入研究。这引发了对其有效应对现实问题能力的担忧,以及偏见可能带来的影响。为此,我们提出了AIM-Bench,一个新型基准,通过多样化的库存补货实验评估大模型智能体在不确定供应链管理场景下的决策行为。结果表明,不同大模型通常表现出程度各异的决策偏见,且与人类观察到的现象相似。此外,我们探索了缓解‘拉向中心’效应和‘牛鞭效应’的策略,包括认知反思和信息共享机制。这些发现强调了在部署大模型进行库存决策时需谨慎考虑潜在偏见。我们希望这些洞察能为减少人为决策偏见、构建以人为本的供应链决策支持系统提供基础。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Recent advances in mathematical reasoning and the long-term planning capabilities of large language models (LLMs) have precipitated the development of agents, which are being increasingly leveraged in business operations processes. Decision models to optimize inventory levels are one of the core elements of operations management. However, the capabilities of the LLM agent in making inventory decisions in uncertain contexts, as well as the decision-making biases (e.g. framing effect, etc.) of the agent, remain largely unexplored. This prompts concerns regarding the capacity of LLM agents to effectively address real-world problems, as well as the potential implications of biases that may be present. To address this gap, we introduce AIM-Bench, a novel benchmark designed to assess the decision-making behaviour of LLM agents in uncertain supply chain management scenarios through a diverse series of inventory replenishment experiments. Our results reveal that different LLMs typically exhibit varying degrees of decision bias that are similar to those observed in human beings. In addition, we explored strategies to mitigate the pull-to-centre effect and the bullwhip effect, namely cognitive reflection and implementation of information sharing. These findings underscore the need for careful consideration of the potential biases in deploying LLMs in Inventory decision-making scenarios. We hope that these insights will pave the way for mitigating human decision bias and developing human-centred decision support systems for supply chains.

大模型评估库存管理决策偏见

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