用大模型分析黑客行为,量化其损失厌恶心理。
Quantifying Loss Aversion in Cyber Adversaries via LLM Analysis
- 通过大模型解析黑客操作日志,识别损失厌恶表现。
- 发现黑客在面临潜在损失时更倾向持久渗透而非撤退。
- 为实时防御和预测攻击者心理提供新思路,适合安全研究人员。
理解并量化人类认知偏差长期以来是重大挑战,尤其在网络安全领域,应对未知攻击者至关重要。传统防御多侧重加固,少数方法尝试将攻击策略映射到认知弱点,但难以动态解读正在进行的攻击。IARPA的ReSCIND项目旨在推断、防御甚至利用攻击者的认知特征。本文提出一种新方法,利用大语言模型(LLMs)从黑客行为中提取可量化的损失厌恶认知偏见。数据来自受控网络实验,招募黑客进行攻击,并收集其生成的操作笔记。我们使用LLM对笔记进行分段,关联其行动与预定义的持久化机制。通过将这些机制的实施与各类操作触发条件相关联,分析揭示了损失厌恶在黑客决策中的具体表现。结果表明,LLMs能有效分解和解读细微的行为模式,为基于行为的实时分析提供了变革性方法,显著提升网络安全防御能力。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Understanding and quantifying human cognitive biases from empirical data has long posed a formidable challenge, particularly in cybersecurity, where defending against unknown adversaries is paramount. Traditional cyber defense strategies have largely focused on fortification, while some approaches attempt to anticipate attacker strategies by mapping them to cognitive vulnerabilities, yet they fall short in dynamically interpreting attacks in progress. In recognition of this gap, IARPA's ReSCIND program seeks to infer, defend against, and even exploit attacker cognitive traits. In this paper, we present a novel methodology that leverages large language models (LLMs) to extract quantifiable insights into the cognitive bias of loss aversion from hacker behavior. Our data are collected from an experiment in which hackers were recruited to attack a controlled demonstration network. We process the hacker generated notes using LLMs using it to segment the various actions and correlate the actions to predefined persistence mechanisms used by hackers. By correlating the implementation of these mechanisms with various operational triggers, our analysis provides new insights into how loss aversion manifests in hacker decision-making. The results demonstrate that LLMs can effectively dissect and interpret nuanced behavioral patterns, thereby offering a transformative approach to enhancing cyber defense strategies through real-time, behavior-based analysis.
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