arXiv:2508.14083cs.LGcs.AI2025-08被引 1

GeoMAE通过自监督学习提升缺失数据下时空图预测的鲁棒性。

GeoMAE: Masking Representation Learning for Spatio-Temporal Graph Forecasting with Missing Values

  • 基于掩码自编码器思想设计辅助任务,增强模型对缺失数据的适应能力。
  • 在真实数据集上相比最优基线提升最高13.20%,显著改善预测精度。
  • 适用于交通流量与能源消耗等存在传感器缺失的智慧城市场景。

城市智能系统中因环境恶劣和设备故障导致的缺失数据普遍存在,严重影响交通预测与能耗估算等下游应用。现有方法多依赖时间序列分析,忽视传感器网络中的动态空间关联,且缺失模式复杂、比例波动大,制约模型泛化能力。为此,本文提出GeoMAE,一种自监督时空表示学习模型,包含输入预处理模块、基于注意力的时空预测网络(STAFN)及受掩码自编码器启发的辅助学习任务,以提升对不完整数据的建模能力。在真实数据集上的实证表明,GeoMAE显著优于现有基准模型,相对提升最高达13.20%。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

The ubiquity of missing data in urban intelligence systems, attributable to adverse environmental conditions and equipment failures, poses a significant challenge to the efficacy of downstream applications, notably in the realms of traffic forecasting and energy consumption prediction. Therefore, it is imperative to develop a robust spatio-temporal learning methodology capable of extracting meaningful insights from incomplete datasets. Despite the existence of methodologies for spatio-temporal graph forecasting in the presence of missing values, unresolved issues persist. Primarily, the majority of extant research is predicated on time-series analysis, thereby neglecting the dynamic spatial correlations inherent in sensor networks. Additionally, the complexity of missing data patterns compounds the intricacy of the problem. Furthermore, the variability in maintenance conditions results in a significant fluctuation in the ratio and pattern of missing values, thereby challenging the generalizability of predictive models. In response to these challenges, this study introduces GeoMAE, a self-supervised spatio-temporal representation learning model. The model is comprised of three principal components: an input preprocessing module, an attention-based spatio-temporal forecasting network (STAFN), and an auxiliary learning task, which draws inspiration from Masking AutoEncoders to enhance the robustness of spatio-temporal representation learning. Empirical evaluations on real-world datasets demonstrate that GeoMAE significantly outperforms existing benchmarks, achieving up to 13.20\% relative improvement over the best baseline models.

时空图缺失数据自监督

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