用生成模型高效模拟地质碳封存,自动处理不确定性
Generative Latent Diffusion Model for Inverse Modeling and Uncertainty Analysis in Geological Carbon Sequestration
- 结合神经场与扩散模型,零样本生成地质模型和响应
- 无需重训练即可融合新数据,计算效率提升显著
- 适合做碳封存决策支持,尤其适用于数据稀疏场景
地质碳封存(GCS)是缓解全球变暖的重要策略,其效果高度依赖于地下流体动力学的准确刻画。由于观测有限和储层非均质性带来的地质不确定性,传统反演建模与不确定性量化方法计算成本高且泛化能力差。本文提出条件神经场潜空间扩散模型(CoNFiLD-geo),一种高效的生成式框架,用于GCS过程的前向与反向建模。该模型通过无监督预训练与贝叶斯后验采样,实现对复杂几何与网格结构的零样本条件生成,无需任务特定再训练即可完成未见状态的数据同化。在合成与真实世界场景中的综合验证表明,CoNFiLD-geo在效率、泛化性、可扩展性与鲁棒性方面均表现优异。该模型支持有效数据同化、不确定性量化与可靠前向模拟,显著提升智能能源系统决策能力,助力实现净零碳未来。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Geological Carbon Sequestration (GCS) has emerged as a promising strategy for mitigating global warming, yet its effectiveness heavily depends on accurately characterizing subsurface flow dynamics. The inherent geological uncertainty, stemming from limited observations and reservoir heterogeneity, poses significant challenges to predictive modeling. Existing methods for inverse modeling and uncertainty quantification are computationally intensive and lack generalizability, restricting their practical utility. Here, we introduce a Conditional Neural Field Latent Diffusion (CoNFiLD-geo) model, a generative framework for efficient and uncertainty-aware forward and inverse modeling of GCS processes. CoNFiLD-geo synergistically combines conditional neural field encoding with Bayesian conditional latent-space diffusion models, enabling zero-shot conditional generation of geomodels and reservoir responses across complex geometries and grid structures. The model is pretrained unconditionally in a self-supervised manner, followed by a Bayesian posterior sampling process, allowing for data assimilation for unseen/unobserved states without task-specific retraining. Comprehensive validation across synthetic and real-world GCS scenarios demonstrates CoNFiLD-geo's superior efficiency, generalization, scalability, and robustness. By enabling effective data assimilation, uncertainty quantification, and reliable forward modeling, CoNFiLD-geo significantly advances intelligent decision-making in geo-energy systems, supporting the transition toward a sustainable, net-zero carbon future.
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