用CT影像和DenseNet模型预测新冠病情严重程度,辅助医生决策
COVID19 Prediction Based On CT Scans Of Lungs Using DenseNet Architecture
- 基于DenseNet架构分析肺部CT,自动评估新冠感染严重度
- 模型可在确诊后一个月内判断是否可能需插管或死亡
- 帮助医疗资源紧张地区快速识别高危患者,适合临床辅助诊断
自2019年12月起,新冠疫情席卷全球,由SARS-CoV2病毒引发,至2020年3月世界卫生组织(WHO)宣布其为全球大流行。此次疫情导致约160万人死亡,主要死因是呼吸系统衰竭。由于症状类似感冒、流感或肺炎,且医疗资源极度短缺,许多患者未能及时获得治疗。本项目旨在通过分析患者的肺部计算机断层扫描(CT)图像,辅助医生判断新冠感染的严重程度。采用卷积神经网络模型,当患者确诊后,模型可在一个月内根据CT影像评估病情是否恶化(如需插管或死亡)。相比人工判断,机器学习模型具有更低错误率和更高准确性,随训练优化持续提升性能。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
COVID19 took the world by storm since December 2019. A highly infectious communicable disease, COVID19 is caused by the SARSCoV2 virus. By March 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared COVID19 as a global pandemic. A pandemic in the 21st century after almost 100 years was something the world was not prepared for, which resulted in the deaths of around 1.6 million people worldwide. The most common symptoms of COVID19 were associated with the respiratory system and resembled a cold, flu, or pneumonia. After extensive research, doctors and scientists concluded that the main reason for lives being lost due to COVID19 was failure of the respiratory system. Patients were dying gasping for breath. Top healthcare systems of the world were failing badly as there was an acute shortage of hospital beds, oxygen cylinders, and ventilators. Many were dying without receiving any treatment at all. The aim of this project is to help doctors decide the severity of COVID19 by reading the patient's Computed Tomography (CT) scans of the lungs. Computer models are less prone to human error, and Machine Learning or Neural Network models tend to give better accuracy as training improves over time. We have decided to use a Convolutional Neural Network model. Given that a patient tests positive, our model will analyze the severity of COVID19 infection within one month of the positive test result. The severity of the infection may be promising or unfavorable (if it leads to intubation or death), based entirely on the CT scans in the dataset.
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