arXiv:2508.19304cs.CYcs.AI2025-08被引 1

分析AI中'确定性范围'的理论局限,揭示其难以落地的根本原因。

Epistemic Trade-Off: An Analysis of the Operational Breakdown and Ontological Limits of "Certainty-Scope" in AI

  • 指出该理论依赖不可计算概念且忽视AI泛化因素
  • 论证其将AI视为封闭认知体,脱离真实社会技术环境
  • 提出应关注复杂人本领域中AI的固有认知负担

近期提出的'确定性范围'假说揭示了人工智能系统中固有的权衡关系。尽管这一研究在哲学层面具有重要意义,并可能为安全关键和任务关键领域的投资、设计与部署提供指导,但其形式化最终将该洞见固化为一种悬置的认知真理,无法在实际系统中实施。本文认为,该假说在工程设计与监管决策中的应用受限于两大根本因素:一是其依赖不可计算构造,且未能捕捉AI的泛化特征,导致其在实践中不可实现且无法验证;二是其基础本体论假设将AI系统视为自洽的认知实体,使其脱离知识共同构建的复杂动态社会技术环境。我们得出结论,这种双重断裂——认知封闭性缺陷与嵌入性缺失——阻碍了该假说向可操作框架的转化。为此,我们建议重新框定认知挑战,强调在复杂人本领域中AI固有的认知负担。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

The recently published "certainty-scope" conjecture offers a compelling insight into the inherent trade-off present within artificial intelligence (AI) systems. As general research, this investigation remains vital as a philosophical undertaking and a potential guide for directing AI investments, design, and deployment, especially in safety-critical and mission-critical domains where risk levels are substantially elevated. While maintaining intellectual coherence, its formalization ultimately consolidates this insight into a suspended epistemic truth, which resists operational implementation within practical systems. This paper argues that the conjecture's objective to furnish insights for engineering design and regulatory decision-making is limited by two fundamental factors: first, its dependence on incomputable constructs and its failure to capture the generality factors of AI, rendering it practically unimplementable and unverifiable; second, its foundational ontological assumption of AI systems as self-contained epistemic entities, distancing it from the complex and dynamic socio-technical environments where knowledge is co-constructed. We conclude that this dual breakdown - an epistemic closure deficit and an embeddedness bypass - hinders the conjecture's transition to a practical and actionable framework suitable for informing and guiding AI deployments. In response, we point towards a possible framing of the epistemic challenge, emphasizing the inherent epistemic burdens of AI within complex human-centric domains.

AI哲学认知局限系统设计

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