首次为自动驾驶系统提供高速公路与城市道路的碰撞率基准
From Stoplights to On-Ramps: A Comprehensive Set of Crash Rate Benchmarks for Freeway and Surface Street ADS Evaluation
- 基于公开数据构建公路与街道路段的碰撞率评估方法
- 亚特兰大高速碰撞率是凤凰城的3.5倍,达2.4起/百万车英里
- 提醒开发者需按地区定制安全评估,避免结果偏差
本文为美国本土自动驾驶系统(ADS)在多个城市区域的安全评估提供了碰撞率基准。研究将先前仅针对地面道路的基准扩展至高速公路,以全面评估未来自动驾驶系统的安全表现。利用公开的警方报告碰撞数据与车辆行驶里程(VMT),方法包括识别在途乘员车辆、道路类型分类及事故类型划分。关键发现显示,高速公路碰撞率存在显著地理差异:亚特兰大(2.4起/百万车英里)的有伤事故率接近凤凰城(0.7起/百万车英里)的3.5倍。结果表明,必须采用地区特定基准,否则安全评估易产生偏差,并揭示了实现不同安全影响水平统计显著性所需的行驶里程。事故类型分布随严重程度变化:高严重度事故(如致命)中单辆车、弱势道路使用者(VRU)及对向碰撞占比更高,低严重度事故无法预测高严重度结果。这些基准还可用于量化达到统计显著性的所需里程。本研究首次生成高速公路专用基准,为评估者和开发者提供了基础框架。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
This paper presents crash rate benchmarks for evaluating US-based Automated Driving Systems (ADS) for multiple urban areas. The purpose of this study was to extend prior benchmarks focused only on surface streets to additionally capture freeway crash risk for future ADS safety performance assessments. Using publicly available police-reported crash and vehicle miles traveled (VMT) data, the methodology details the isolation of in-transport passenger vehicles, road type classification, and crash typology. Key findings revealed that freeway crash rates exhibit large geographic dependence variations with any-injury-reported crash rates being nearly 3.5 times higher in Atlanta (2.4 IPMM; the highest) when compared to Phoenix (0.7 IPMM; the lowest). The results show the critical need for location-specific benchmarks to avoid biased safety evaluations and provide insights into the vehicle miles traveled (VMT) required to achieve statistical significance for various safety impact levels. The distribution of crash types depended on the outcome severity level. Higher severity outcomes (e.g., fatal crashes) had a larger proportion of single-vehicle, vulnerable road users (VRU), and opposite-direction collisions compared to lower severity (police-reported) crashes. Given heterogeneity in crash types by severity, performance in low-severity scenarios may not be predictive of high-severity outcomes. These benchmarks are additionally used to quantify at the required mileage to show statistically significant deviations from human performance. This is the first paper to generate freeway-specific benchmarks for ADS evaluation and provides a foundational framework for future ADS benchmarking by evaluators and developers.
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