仅用卫星图像生成结构一致的人类流动数据,无需额外辅助信息。
Sat2Flow: A Structure-Aware Diffusion Framework for Human Flow Generation from Satellite Imagery
- 通过多核编码器和排列感知扩散过程,捕捉区域间复杂交互。
- 在区域重排序下仍保持流动分布与空间结构,误差低于基线方法37%。
- 适合缺乏人口统计等数据的地区,用于城市交通规划与政策设计。
起讫点(OD)流动矩阵对城市出行分析至关重要,支撑交通预测、基础设施规划与政策制定。现有方法存在两大局限:一是依赖昂贵的辅助特征(如兴趣点、社会经济数据),且覆盖范围有限;二是对空间拓扑变化敏感,区域顺序调整会破坏生成流动的结构一致性。我们提出Sat2Flow,一种仅基于卫星影像生成结构一致的OD流动的结构感知扩散框架。该方法采用多核编码器捕获多样化的区域交互,并引入排列感知扩散过程,确保在任意区域重编号下保持一致性。通过联合对比学习(链接卫星特征与OD模式)和等变扩散训练(强制结构不变性),实现拓扑鲁棒性。在真实世界数据集上的实验表明,Sat2Flow在准确性上优于基于物理和数据驱动的基线方法,同时在区域索引重排下仍能保持流动分布与空间结构。该方法为数据稀缺环境下的全球可扩展OD流动生成提供解决方案,摆脱对区域特定辅助数据的依赖,保障结构鲁棒性以支持可靠出行建模。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Origin-Destination (OD) flow matrices are critical for urban mobility analysis, supporting traffic forecasting, infrastructure planning, and policy design. Existing methods face two key limitations: (1) reliance on costly auxiliary features (e.g., Points of Interest, socioeconomic statistics) with limited spatial coverage, and (2) fragility to spatial topology changes, where reordering urban regions disrupts the structural coherence of generated flows. We propose Sat2Flow, a structure-aware diffusion framework that generates structurally coherent OD flows using only satellite imagery. Our approach employs a multi-kernel encoder to capture diverse regional interactions and a permutation-aware diffusion process that maintains consistency across regional orderings. Through joint contrastive training linking satellite features with OD patterns and equivariant diffusion training enforcing structural invariance, Sat2Flow ensures topological robustness under arbitrary regional reindexing. Experiments on real-world datasets show that Sat2Flow outperforms physics-based and data-driven baselines in accuracy while preserving flow distributions and spatial structures under index permutations. Sat2Flow offers a globally scalable solution for OD flow generation in data-scarce environments, eliminating region-specific auxiliary data dependencies while maintaining structural robustness for reliable mobility modeling.
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