构建印度区域天气预报基准,推动本地化气候预测研究
IndiaWeatherBench: A Dataset and Benchmark for Data-Driven Regional Weather Forecasting over India
- 整合高分辨率再分析数据,统一评估标准
- 覆盖多种模型架构,验证不同条件下的预报性能
- 开源全部数据与代码,适合气象与机器学习交叉研究者
区域天气预报对本地气候适应、灾害减缓和可持续发展至关重要。尽管机器学习在全局天气预报中取得显著进展,区域预报仍相对未被充分探索。现有工作常使用不同数据集和实验设置,限制了公平比较与可复现性。本文提出IndiaWeatherBench,一个面向印度次大陆的数据驱动区域天气预报综合基准。该基准包含从高分辨率区域再分析产品构建的精选数据集,以及一套确定性和概率性评估指标,支持一致的训练与评估。为建立强基线,我们实现了多种模型架构(包括UNets、Transformer、图神经网络),并测试不同边界条件策略与训练目标。尽管聚焦印度,IndiaWeatherBench可轻松扩展至其他地理区域。所有原始及预处理数据、模型实现与评估流程均开源,以促进可访问性与未来发展。代码已发布于 https://github.com/tung-nd/IndiaWeatherBench。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Regional weather forecasting is a critical problem for localized climate adaptation, disaster mitigation, and sustainable development. While machine learning has shown impressive progress in global weather forecasting, regional forecasting remains comparatively underexplored. Existing efforts often use different datasets and experimental setups, limiting fair comparison and reproducibility. We introduce IndiaWeatherBench, a comprehensive benchmark for data-driven regional weather forecasting focused on the Indian subcontinent. IndiaWeatherBench provides a curated dataset built from high-resolution regional reanalysis products, along with a suite of deterministic and probabilistic metrics to facilitate consistent training and evaluation. To establish strong baselines, we implement and evaluate a range of models across diverse architectures, including UNets, Transformers, and Graph-based networks, as well as different boundary conditioning strategies and training objectives. While focused on India, IndiaWeatherBench is easily extensible to other geographic regions. We open-source all raw and preprocessed datasets, model implementations, and evaluation pipelines to promote accessibility and future development. We hope IndiaWeatherBench will serve as a foundation for advancing regional weather forecasting research. Code is available at https://github.com/tung-nd/IndiaWeatherBench.
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