arXiv:2509.00987cs.AI2025-09综述被引 1

用多智能体架构提升大模型的因果推理能力,解决幻觉与误关联问题。

Causal MAS: A Survey of Large Language Model Architectures for Discovery and Effect Estimation

  • 设计多智能体协作框架,分担因果推理、发现与效应估计任务
  • 通过辩论、仿真和迭代优化提升因果推断的准确性和可解释性
  • 适用于医疗、科学发现等需精准因果分析的领域

大语言模型在各类推理与生成任务中表现卓越,但在复杂因果推理、因果发现与效应估计方面仍面临挑战,常受幻觉、伪相关依赖及领域/个性化因果关系处理困难的影响。多智能体系统通过多个基于大模型的智能体协同或分工,正成为突破这些局限的强大范式。本文综述因果多智能体大模型的发展现状,探讨其在因果推理、反事实分析、数据驱动的因果发现以及因果效应估计中的应用。深入分析了从流水线处理、辩论机制到仿真环境与迭代优化循环等多样化架构模式与交互协议。同时讨论了评估方法、基准测试及在科学发现、医疗、事实核查与个性化系统等领域的实际影响。最后指出当前挑战、开放问题与未来方向,旨在全面呈现该交叉领域的发展态势与潜力。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Large Language Models (LLMs) have demonstrated remarkable capabilities in various reasoning and generation tasks. However, their proficiency in complex causal reasoning, discovery, and estimation remains an area of active development, often hindered by issues like hallucination, reliance on spurious correlations, and difficulties in handling nuanced, domain-specific, or personalized causal relationships. Multi-agent systems, leveraging the collaborative or specialized abilities of multiple LLM-based agents, are emerging as a powerful paradigm to address these limitations. This review paper explores the burgeoning field of causal multi-agent LLMs. We examine how these systems are designed to tackle different facets of causality, including causal reasoning and counterfactual analysis, causal discovery from data, and the estimation of causal effects. We delve into the diverse architectural patterns and interaction protocols employed, from pipeline-based processing and debate frameworks to simulation environments and iterative refinement loops. Furthermore, we discuss the evaluation methodologies, benchmarks, and diverse application domains where causal multi-agent LLMs are making an impact, including scientific discovery, healthcare, fact-checking, and personalized systems. Finally, we highlight the persistent challenges, open research questions, and promising future directions in this synergistic field, aiming to provide a comprehensive overview of its current state and potential trajectory.

因果推理多智能体大模型科学发现

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