arXiv:2509.01409cs.LG2025-09被引 16

研究信贷评分中成本敏感模型的解释稳定性,发现优化成本会降低解释可信度。

Evaluating the stability of model explanations in instance-dependent cost-sensitive credit scoring

  • 用实例相关损失函数定制信贷模型,提升成本效率
  • 在类别不平衡下,解释方法的特征重要性排名显著不稳定
  • 适合关注模型可解释性与监管合规的金融算法研究者

实例依赖型成本敏感(IDCS)分类器通过针对每笔实例定制损失函数,有望提升信贷评分的成本效率。然而,这类损失函数对模型解释稳定性的影响尚未被研究,而监管对透明度的要求正日益提高。本文评估了局部可解释模型无关解释(LIME)和SHAP在IDCS模型上的表现。基于四个公开信贷数据集,首先检验了IDCS分类器的判别能力与成本效率,并引入新指标以增强跨数据集可比性;随后通过受控重采样,在不同类别不平衡程度下分析了SHAP与LIME特征重要性排序的稳定性。结果表明:尽管IDCS模型提升了成本效率,但其解释稳定性显著低于传统模型,尤其在类别不平衡加剧时更为明显,凸显了成本优化与可解释性之间的关键权衡。面对日益严格的监管审查,本研究强调必须解决IDCS分类器的解释稳定性问题,否则其成本优势可能因不可靠的解释而被削弱。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Instance-dependent cost-sensitive (IDCS) classifiers offer a promising approach to improving cost-efficiency in credit scoring by tailoring loss functions to instance-specific costs. However, the impact of such loss functions on the stability of model explanations remains unexplored in literature, despite increasing regulatory demands for transparency. This study addresses this gap by evaluating the stability of Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanations (LIME) and SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) when applied to IDCS models. Using four publicly available credit scoring datasets, we first assess the discriminatory power and cost-efficiency of IDCS classifiers, introducing a novel metric to enhance cross-dataset comparability. We then investigate the stability of SHAP and LIME feature importance rankings under varying degrees of class imbalance through controlled resampling. Our results reveal that while IDCS classifiers improve cost-efficiency, they produce significantly less stable explanations compared to traditional models, particularly as class imbalance increases, highlighting a critical trade-off between cost optimization and interpretability in credit scoring. Amid increasing regulatory scrutiny on explainability, this research underscores the pressing need to address stability issues in IDCS classifiers to ensure that their cost advantages are not undermined by unstable or untrustworthy explanations.

信用评分解释稳定性成本敏感SHAP

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