arXiv:2509.01576cs.AIcs.CY2025-09被引 5

提出结构化决策框架,提升灾荒管理中AI决策的稳定性和准确性。

Structured AI Decision-Making in Disaster Management

  • 引入代理、层级和情景三要素构建结构化决策框架。
  • 相比经验判断系统,决策准确率提升60.94%,优于人类专家38.93%。
  • 适合高风险场景下需可靠决策的AI系统设计与评估。

随着人工智能在航空航天、应急响应等安全关键领域应用日益广泛,如何确保其决策过程可解释、可信赖成为重要议题。本文提出一种结构化决策框架,作为负责任AI的基础步骤,并将其应用于灾荒管理中的自主决策。通过引入“使能代理”“层级”和“情景”概念,该框架在多情景下与纯经验判断系统及具备灾荒经验的人类(包括受灾者、志愿者和利益相关方)进行对比测试。结果表明,该框架在多情景下实现60.94%更高的决策稳定性,且相较人类操作员整体准确率高出38.93%。研究验证了该框架在安全关键场景中构建更可靠自主AI系统的潜力。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

With artificial intelligence (AI) being applied to bring autonomy to decision-making in safety-critical domains such as the ones typified in the aerospace and emergency-response services, there has been a call to address the ethical implications of structuring those decisions, so they remain reliable and justifiable when human lives are at stake. This paper contributes to addressing the challenge of decision-making by proposing a structured decision-making framework as a foundational step towards responsible AI. The proposed structured decision-making framework is implemented in autonomous decision-making, specifically within disaster management. By introducing concepts of Enabler agents, Levels and Scenarios, the proposed framework's performance is evaluated against systems relying solely on judgement-based insights, as well as human operators who have disaster experience: victims, volunteers, and stakeholders. The results demonstrate that the structured decision-making framework achieves 60.94% greater stability in consistently accurate decisions across multiple Scenarios, compared to judgement-based systems. Moreover, the study shows that the proposed framework outperforms human operators with a 38.93% higher accuracy across various Scenarios. These findings demonstrate the promise of the structured decision-making framework for building more reliable autonomous AI applications in safety-critical contexts.

AI决策灾荒管理可靠性

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