arXiv:2509.03811cs.AI2025-09被引 1

用生成式AI重构供应链规划,实现智能协同决策。

Rethinking Supply Chain Planning: A Generative Paradigm

  • 构建生成式AI代理框架,融合人类战略与动态执行。
  • 京东实测显示计划准确率提升22%,在库率提高2%。
  • 适合需要智能化协调的大型电商与复杂供应链场景。

供应链规划是预测未来需求并协调物流网络运营活动的关键过程。然而,在当代电子商务背景下,传统规划范式通常表现为流程碎片化和静态优化,难以应对动态需求、组织壁垒及多阶段协同的复杂性。为此,本文提出对供应链规划的根本性重构,将其从单纯的计算任务重新定义为一种交互式、集成化且自动化的认知过程。新范式强调人类战略意图与自适应执行的有机统一,将重点从刚性控制转向持续智能协调。为实现这一理念,我们引入一个生成式AI驱动的代理框架,作为智能认知接口,弥合非结构化业务情境与结构化分析流程之间的鸿沟,使系统能够理解复杂语义,并跨组织边界协调决策。在京东大规模运营中的实证表明,该方法具有有效性:计划准确率提升约22%,在库率提高2%,验证了规划向适应性、知识驱动能力转型的可行性。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Supply chain planning is the critical process of anticipating future demand and coordinating operational activities across the logistics network. However, within the context of contemporary e-commerce, traditional planning paradigms, typically characterized by fragmented processes and static optimization, prove inadequate in addressing dynamic demand, organizational silos, and the complexity of multi-stage coordination. To address these challenges, this study proposes a fundamental rethinking of supply chain planning, redefining it not merely as a computational task, but as an interactive, integrated, and automated cognitive process. This new paradigm emphasizes the organic unification of human strategic intent with adaptive execution, shifting the focus from rigid control to continuous, intelligent orchestration. To operationalize this conceptual shift, we introduce a Generative AI-powered agentic framework. Functioning as an intelligent cognitive interface, this framework bridges the gap between unstructured business contexts and structured analytical workflows, enabling the system to comprehend complex semantics and coordinate decisions across organizational boundaries. We demonstrate the empirical validity of this approach within JD.com's large-scale operations. The deployment confirms the efficacy of this cognitive paradigm, yielding an approximate 22% improvement in planning accuracy and a 2% increase in in-stock rates, thereby validating the transformation of planning into an adaptive, knowledge-driven capability.

供应链生成式AI智能决策

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