用模糊方法优化可再生能源选择权重,提升决策科学性
Renewable Energy Sources Selection Analysis with the Maximizing Deviation Method
- 引入区间型费马特模糊集建模决策不确定性
- 基于偏差最大化求解部分已知权重,增强结果可靠性
- 适用于能源政策制定者与环境规划者参考
多准则决策方法为在不确定、复杂且冲突的情境下做出更优决策提供了有效工具。模糊集理论主要处理人类思维与感知中的不确定性,并尝试量化这种不确定性。由于模糊逻辑和模糊集理论能有效处理决策者判断中的不确定性和模糊性,支持语言化表达,因此常与多准则决策方法结合使用。本研究采用费马特模糊集这一模糊集的广义形式,提出一种基于偏差最大化原理的优化模型,用于确定部分已知特征权重。该方法结合区间值费马特模糊集,应用于可再生能源源的选择问题。选择可再生能源的原因在于:满足能源需求、平衡碳排放、减缓全球气候变化是当前最紧迫的问题之一。尽管可再生能源选择涉及技术问题,但其管理与政治影响同样重要,本文亦对此进行了探讨。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Multi-criteria decision-making methods provide decision-makers with appropriate tools to make better decisions in uncertain, complex, and conflicting situations. Fuzzy set theory primarily deals with the uncertainty inherent in human thoughts and perceptions and attempts to quantify this uncertainty. Fuzzy logic and fuzzy set theory are utilized with multi-criteria decision-making methods because they effectively handle uncertainty and fuzziness in decision-makers' judgments, allowing for verbal judgments of the problem. This study utilizes the Fermatean fuzzy environment, a generalization of fuzzy sets. An optimization model based on the deviation maximization method is proposed to determine partially known feature weights. This method is combined with interval-valued Fermatean fuzzy sets. The proposed method was applied to the problem of selecting renewable energy sources. The reason for choosing renewable energy sources is that meeting energy needs from renewable sources, balancing carbon emissions, and mitigating the effects of global climate change are among the most critical issues of the recent period. Even though selecting renewable energy sources is a technical issue, the managerial and political implications of this issue are also important, and are discussed in this study.
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