用可解释神经模型提升物流枢纽自动化决策的透明度与可靠性。
Towards explainable decision support using hybrid neural models for logistic terminal automation
- 融合深度学习与符号解释技术,构建可解释的神经系统动力学模型。
- 在欧盟AutoMoTIF项目数据上实现高可解释性下的精准预测。
- 适合需要透明决策的工业物联网复杂系统场景使用。
深度学习(DL)与系统动力学(SD)建模结合在运输物流中展现出强大的可扩展性和预测精度优势,但常因可解释性缺失和因果可靠性不足而受限,而这正是关键决策系统的必要要求。本文提出一种可解释性设计的混合神经系统动力学建模框架,整合概念可解释性、机制可解释性及因果机器学习技术。该方法构建的神经网络模型基于语义明确且可操作的变量,同时保持传统SD模型的因果基础与透明性。框架应用于欧盟资助项目AutoMoTIF的真实案例,聚焦多式联运物流枢纽的数据驱动决策支持、自动化与优化。研究旨在展示神经符号方法如何弥合黑箱预测模型与工业物联网赋能的赛博物理系统中复杂动态环境对关键决策支持的需求之间的鸿沟。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
The integration of Deep Learning (DL) in System Dynamics (SD) modeling for transportation logistics offers significant advantages in scalability and predictive accuracy. However, these gains are often offset by the loss of explainability and causal reliability $-$ key requirements in critical decision-making systems. This paper presents a novel framework for interpretable-by-design neural system dynamics modeling that synergizes DL with techniques from Concept-Based Interpretability, Mechanistic Interpretability, and Causal Machine Learning. The proposed hybrid approach enables the construction of neural network models that operate on semantically meaningful and actionable variables, while retaining the causal grounding and transparency typical of traditional SD models. The framework is conceived to be applied to real-world case-studies from the EU-funded project AutoMoTIF, focusing on data-driven decision support, automation, and optimization of multimodal logistic terminals. We aim at showing how neuro-symbolic methods can bridge the gap between black-box predictive models and the need for critical decision support in complex dynamical environments within cyber-physical systems enabled by the industrial Internet-of-Things.
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