用AI从MRI预测结直肠肝转移患者生存期,准确率超现有方法。
Live(r) Die: Predicting Survival in Colorectal Liver Metastasis
- 通过自动分割MRI中的肝脏、肿瘤和脾脏,减少人工标注依赖。
- 在227例患者上实现C-index提升超10%,优于临床与基因标志物。
- 适合临床医生和医学影像研究者用于个性化预后评估。
结直肠癌常转移至肝脏,显著降低长期生存率。尽管手术切除是唯一可能治愈的方法,但患者预后差异大,受肿瘤特征及临床、基因因素影响。现有预后模型多基于有限的临床或分子特征,预测能力不足,尤其在多灶性结直肠肝转移(CRLM)中表现更差。我们提出一种全自动框架,利用术前及术后增强MRI预测手术结果。该框架包含分割与放射组学两部分:分割部分采用可提示的基础模型,从部分标注数据中学习分割肝脏、肿瘤和脾脏;提出SAMONAI,一种新型零样本3D提示传播算法,仅需单点提示即可高效精准分割三维病灶区域。分割结果输入放射组学管道,提取各肿瘤特征,并使用SurvAMINN——一种基于自编码器的多实例神经网络,进行生存分析。SurvAMINN联合学习降维与风险预测,聚焦最具侵袭性的肿瘤。在包含227名患者的机构数据集上,本框架显著超越现有临床与基因标志物,C-index提升超过10%。结果表明,结合自动化分割与放射组学的生存分析,可实现准确、低标注成本且可解释的CRLM预后预测。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Colorectal cancer frequently metastasizes to the liver, significantly reducing long-term survival. While surgical resection is the only potentially curative treatment for colorectal liver metastasis (CRLM), patient outcomes vary widely depending on tumor characteristics along with clinical and genomic factors. Current prognostic models, often based on limited clinical or molecular features, lack sufficient predictive power, especially in multifocal CRLM cases. We present a fully automated framework for surgical outcome prediction from pre- and post-contrast MRI acquired before surgery. Our framework consists of a segmentation pipeline and a radiomics pipeline. The segmentation pipeline learns to segment the liver, tumors, and spleen from partially annotated data by leveraging promptable foundation models to complete missing labels. Also, we propose SAMONAI, a novel zero-shot 3D prompt propagation algorithm that leverages the Segment Anything Model to segment 3D regions of interest from a single point prompt, significantly improving our segmentation pipeline's accuracy and efficiency. The predicted pre- and post-contrast segmentations are then fed into our radiomics pipeline, which extracts features from each tumor and predicts survival using SurvAMINN, a novel autoencoder-based multiple instance neural network for survival analysis. SurvAMINN jointly learns dimensionality reduction and hazard prediction from right-censored survival data, focusing on the most aggressive tumors. Extensive evaluation on an institutional dataset comprising 227 patients demonstrates that our framework surpasses existing clinical and genomic biomarkers, delivering a C-index improvement exceeding 10%. Our results demonstrate the potential of integrating automated segmentation algorithms and radiomics-based survival analysis to deliver accurate, annotation-efficient, and interpretable outcome prediction in CRLM.
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