用大模型生成符合真实人口分布的人格画像,提升社会模拟真实性
Population-Aligned Persona Generation for LLM-based Social Simulation
- 从社交媒体数据生成叙事人格,再通过重要性采样对齐心理特质分布
- 在真实人口数据上验证,显著降低群体偏差,提升模拟准确性
- 支持按特定场景定制子人群画像,适用于政策与社会研究
大语言模型的进展使得高保真、大规模的人类社会模拟成为可能,为计算社会科学带来新机遇。然而,构建能真实反映现实人口多样性与分布的个性集合仍是关键挑战。现有研究多聚焦于智能体框架与仿真环境设计,常忽视人格生成的复杂性及不具代表性的个性集带来的偏见。本文提出一种系统性框架,用于生成高质量、与人口对齐的个性化集合。方法首先利用大模型从长期社交媒体数据中生成叙事人格,再经严格质量评估剔除低质档案;随后采用重要性采样,使人格特征全局对齐如大五人格等参考心理分布。为适配特定仿真场景,进一步引入任务定制模块,将全局对齐的个性集适配至目标子群体。大量实验表明,该方法显著降低群体层面偏差,支持广泛的研究与政策应用中的精准、灵活社会模拟。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Recent advances in large language models (LLMs) have enabled human-like social simulations at unprecedented scale and fidelity, offering new opportunities for computational social science. A key challenge, however, is the construction of persona sets that authentically represent the diversity and distribution of real-world populations. Most existing LLM-based social simulation studies focus primarily on designing agentic frameworks and simulation environments, often overlooking the complexities of persona generation and the potential biases introduced by unrepresentative persona sets. In this paper, we propose a systematic framework for synthesizing high-quality, population-aligned persona sets for LLM-driven social simulation. Our approach begins by leveraging LLMs to generate narrative personas from long-term social media data, followed by rigorous quality assessment to filter out low-fidelity profiles. We then apply importance sampling to achieve global alignment with reference psychometric distributions, such as the Big Five personality traits. To address the needs of specific simulation contexts, we further introduce a task-specific module that adapts the globally aligned persona set to targeted subpopulations. Extensive experiments demonstrate that our method significantly reduces population-level bias and enables accurate, flexible social simulation for a wide range of research and policy applications.
Thank you to arXiv for use of its open access interoperability. PaperDance 不是 arXiv 官方产品;中文卡片由大模型生成,请以原文为准。