量子混合模型提升小样本信贷风险预测准确率
Hybrid Quantum-Classical Neural Networks for Few-Shot Credit Risk Assessment
- 用经典模型预处理特征,再用量子神经网络分类
- 实测在279样本数据上达AUC 0.88,优于传统方法
- 适合金融领域小数据场景的量子计算应用探索
量子机器学习为解决经典方法难以应对的复杂金融问题提供了新范式。本文聚焦于小样本信贷风险评估这一包容性金融中的关键挑战,因数据稀缺与不平衡导致传统模型效果受限。为此,设计并实现了一种新型混合量子-经典工作流程:首先使用逻辑回归、随机森林、XGBoost等集成经典模型进行智能特征工程与降维;随后采用参数移位法训练的量子神经网络(QNN)作为核心分类器。该框架通过数值模拟验证,并部署于夸父量子云平台的ScQ-P21超导处理器上进行硬件实验。在包含279个样本的真实信贷数据集上,模拟中QNN平均AUC达0.852 ± 0.027,硬件实验AUC达0.88,显著优于一系列经典基准,尤其在召回率上表现突出。本研究为当前量子噪声中等(NISQ)时代下数据受限的金融场景提供了可落地的量子计算应用蓝图,并为包容性金融等高风险应用场景提供了有力实证支持。
原文摘要 · Abstract (English)
Quantum Machine Learning (QML) offers a new paradigm for addressing complex financial problems intractable for classical methods. This work specifically tackles the challenge of few-shot credit risk assessment, a critical issue in inclusive finance where data scarcity and imbalance limit the effectiveness of conventional models. To address this, we design and implement a novel hybrid quantum-classical workflow. The methodology first employs an ensemble of classical machine learning models (Logistic Regression, Random Forest, XGBoost) for intelligent feature engineering and dimensionality reduction. Subsequently, a Quantum Neural Network (QNN), trained via the parameter-shift rule, serves as the core classifier. This framework was evaluated through numerical simulations and deployed on the Quafu Quantum Cloud Platform's ScQ-P21 superconducting processor. On a real-world credit dataset of 279 samples, our QNN achieved a robust average AUC of 0.852 +/- 0.027 in simulations and yielded an impressive AUC of 0.88 in the hardware experiment. This performance surpasses a suite of classical benchmarks, with a particularly strong result on the recall metric. This study provides a pragmatic blueprint for applying quantum computing to data-constrained financial scenarios in the NISQ era and offers valuable empirical evidence supporting its potential in high-stakes applications like inclusive finance.
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