arXiv:2509.15266cs.LG2025-09

用推特数据追踪迷幻药使用效果,准确率达88.5%

A Weak Supervision Approach for Monitoring Recreational Drug Use Effects in Social Media

  • 结合俚语词表与医学概念抽取,弱标注超9万条推文
  • 梯度提升模型极不平衡数据下F1达0.885,AUPRC达0.934
  • 可实时监测药物效应,适合公共卫生与药物警戒研究

理解娱乐性药物使用的现实影响是公共健康和生物医学研究中的关键挑战,传统监测系统常无法充分反映用户真实体验。本研究利用社交媒体(特别是推特)作为丰富且未经筛选的用户报告来源,分析三种新兴致幻物质——摇头丸、GHB 和 2C-B——的相关体验。通过结合人工筛选的俚语列表与 MetaMap 的生物医学概念提取,识别并弱标注了超过92,000条提及这些物质的推文。每条推文根据专家指导的启发式规则标注正负向效应极性。我们进行了描述性与比较性分析,并训练多种机器学习分类器从推文内容预测极性,采用代价敏感学习和合成过采样等技术应对严重类别不平衡问题。测试集上表现最佳的是带代价敏感学习的 eXtreme Gradient Boosting 模型(F1 = 0.885,AUPRC = 0.934)。结果表明,推特能有效捕捉物质特异性的表型效应,极性分类模型可支持高精度的实时药物警戒与药物效应表征。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Understanding the real-world effects of recreational drug use remains a critical challenge in public health and biomedical research, especially as traditional surveillance systems often underrepresent user experiences. In this study, we leverage social media (specifically Twitter) as a rich and unfiltered source of user-reported effects associated with three emerging psychoactive substances: ecstasy, GHB, and 2C-B. By combining a curated list of slang terms with biomedical concept extraction via MetaMap, we identified and weakly annotated over 92,000 tweets mentioning these substances. Each tweet was labeled with a polarity reflecting whether it reported a positive or negative effect, following an expert-guided heuristic process. We then performed descriptive and comparative analyses of the reported phenotypic outcomes across substances and trained multiple machine learning classifiers to predict polarity from tweet content, accounting for strong class imbalance using techniques such as cost-sensitive learning and synthetic oversampling. The top performance on the test set was obtained from eXtreme Gradient Boosting with cost-sensitive learning (F1 = 0.885, AUPRC = 0.934). Our findings reveal that Twitter enables the detection of substance-specific phenotypic effects, and that polarity classification models can support real-time pharmacovigilance and drug effect characterization with high accuracy.

药物监测社交网络弱监督文本分类

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