arXiv:2509.21004cs.LG2025-09中稿 · IEEE Transactions …被引 3

提出MAIFormer模型,精准预测多架飞机飞行轨迹并可解释。

Multi-Agent Inverted Transformer for Flight Trajectory Prediction

  • 用双重注意力机制分别捕捉飞机自身动态和空中交互模式。
  • 在仁川机场数据集上多指标领先现有方法。
  • 输出结果直观可读,适合空管场景落地应用。

多架飞机的飞行轨迹预测对理解当前空中交通流至关重要,但面临建模个体行为与复杂交互的挑战。为此,本文提出多智能体反向变换器MAIFormer,采用两种关键注意力模块:(i) 掩码多变量注意力,捕捉单个飞机的时空特征;(ii) 智能体注意力,建模复杂空域中多架飞机的社会性互动。基于韩国仁川国际机场终端空域的真实广播自动相关监视数据集进行评估,实验结果表明,MAIFormer在多个指标上均表现最优,优于现有方法。此外,其预测结果具备人类可理解性,提升了模型透明度与空管实际应用价值。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

Flight trajectory prediction for multiple aircraft is essential and provides critical insights into how aircraft navigate within current air traffic flows. However, predicting multi-agent flight trajectories is inherently challenging. One of the major difficulties is modeling both the individual aircraft behaviors over time and the complex interactions between flights. Generating explainable prediction outcomes is also a challenge. Therefore, we propose a Multi-Agent Inverted Transformer, MAIFormer, as a novel neural architecture that predicts multi-agent flight trajectories. The proposed framework features two key attention modules: (i) masked multivariate attention, which captures spatio-temporal patterns of individual aircraft, and (ii) agent attention, which models the social patterns among multiple agents in complex air traffic scenes. We evaluated MAIFormer using a real-world automatic dependent surveillance-broadcast flight trajectory dataset from the terminal airspace of Incheon International Airport in South Korea. The experimental results show that MAIFormer achieves the best performance across multiple metrics and outperforms other methods. In addition, MAIFormer produces prediction outcomes that are interpretable from a human perspective, which improves both the transparency of the model and its practical utility in air traffic control.

轨迹预测多智能体注意力机制空管

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