arXiv:2509.21399cs.CVcs.LG2025-09

用单图超分辨率技术将气候预测从12.5公里提升至1公里,保持精度不变。

Downscaling climate projections to 1 km with single-image super resolution

  • 用观测数据训练超分辨率模型,对低分辨率气候预测进行统计降尺度。
  • 在气象站位置评估气候指标,结果误差与原始低分辨率投影相当。
  • 适合需要高精度本地气候决策的研究者和政策制定者。

高分辨率气候预测对本地决策至关重要,但现有气候预测空间分辨率较低(如12.5公里),限制了其应用。本文通过单图超分辨率模型,将气候预测统计性地降尺度至1公里分辨率。由于缺乏真实高分辨率气候数据,模型在高分辨率观测网格数据上训练,并应用于低分辨率气候预测。由于缺少真实高分辨率气候数据,无法使用像素级均方根误差等常见评估指标,因此采用气象站位置的气候指标进行评估。在日均温度上的实验表明,单图超分辨率模型可在不增加气候指标误差的前提下实现降尺度。

原文摘要 · Abstract (English)

High-resolution climate projections are essential for local decision-making. However, available climate projections have low spatial resolution (e.g. 12.5 km), which limits their usability. We address this limitation by leveraging single-image super-resolution models to statistically downscale climate projections to 1-km resolution. Since high-resolution climate projections are unavailable, we train models on a high-resolution observational gridded data set and apply them to low-resolution climate projections. We cannot evaluate downscaled climate projections with common metrics (e.g. pixel-wise root-mean-square error) because we lack ground-truth high-resolution climate projections. Therefore, we evaluate climate indicators computed at weather station locations. Experiments on daily mean temperature demonstrate that single-image super-resolution models can downscale climate projections without increasing the error of climate indicators compared to low-resolution climate projections.

气候建模超分辨率降尺度1公里

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